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HomeMy WebLinkAbout2009-02-11 - Agendas - Final Lioneld Jordan Chairman Jerry Friend Retired Position 2 Sondra E. Smith Treasurer Tim Helder Retired Position 3 Eldon Roberts Secretary/Retired Position 1 Melvin Stanley Retired Position 4 7aye d0L lie Frank Johnson Retired Position 5 ARKANSAS Police Pension and Relief Fund Board of Trustees Agenda February 11, 2009 A meeting of the Fayetteville Policemen's Pension and Relief Fund Board will be held on February 11 , 2009 at 2:00 PM in Room 219 of the City Administration Building located at 113 West Mountain Street, Fayetteville, Arkansas. Welcome Mayor Lioneld Jordan Roll Call Approval of the Minutes • Approval of the October 16, 2008 meeting minutes Approval of the Pension List • February, March and April, 2009 pension list Old Business New Business • 2008 Pension Report to the City Council • Signature authorization for transfers • 2009 Board elections • Revenues/Expenses Report • 2009 parking permits Longer Investments • Longer Investments November 3, 2008 letter regarding the market • Longer Investments December 18, 2008 letter regarding the market • Longer Investments letter regarding the Bernard Madoff scandal • Longer Investments 4th Quarter 2008 report Discussion Items Board Members Policemen's Pension and Relief Fund Mayor Coody Chairman Board of Trustees Meeting Minutes Sondra E. Smith Treasurer October 16, 2008 Eldon Roberts Secretary/Retired Positior Page 1 of 3 Jerry Friend Retired Position 2 Tim Helder Retired Position 3 Melvin Stanley Retired Position 4 Taye Ivi C Frank Johnson Retired Position 5 ARKANSAS Policemen's Pension and Relief Fund Meeting Minutes October 16, 2008 A meeting of the Fayetteville Policemen's Pension and Relief Fund was held at 1 :30 PM on October 16, 2008 in Room 326 of the City Administration Building Eldon Roberts called the meeting to order. Present: Frank Johnson, Melvin Stanley, Eldon Roberts, Tim Helder, Jerry Friend, Sondra Smith, City Clerk, Kit Williams, City Attorney, Trish Leach, Accounting, Elaine Longer and Kim Cooper of Longer Investments. Absent: Mayor Coody Approval of the Minutes: Approval of the July 17, 2008 Meeting Minutes Tim Helder moved to approve the minutes. Melvin Stanley seconded the motion. Upon roll call the motion carried 6-0. Mayor Coody was absent. Approval of the Pension List: November and December 2008 Pension Lists January 2009 Pension List Jerry Friend moved to approve the November and December 2008 Pension List and the January 2009 Pension List. Frank Johnson seconded the motion. Upon roll call the motion carried 6-0. Mayor Coody was absent. Old Business: None Policemen's Pension and Relief Fund Board of Trustees Meeting Minutes October 16, 2008 Page 2 of 3 New Business: Actuarial Report A copy of the Actuarial report was given to the Board. Longer Investments: Elaine Longer: It is an absolute mess out there in our world right now. This is just historic. Last week we did the biggest percentage decline. We are setting records that are knocking all records off the map. We came in Monday and had our biggest point gain ever and then Tuesday we started stabilizing, then yesterday we went down 733 points, which was one of the largest point losses ever. There are a lot of reasons for it. Elaine Longer gave a brief summary of the quarterly report. A copy of the report is attached. Jerry Friend moved to approve the equity overage. Melvin Stanley seconded the motion. Upon roll call the motion passed 6-0. Mayor Coody was absent. Elaine Longer Letter: A copy of the letter Elaine Longer sent regarding market events was given to the Board. Quarterly Report: A copy of the quarterly report was given to the Board. Discussion Items Eldon Roberts — Year end report showing total income for the year and where the income came from. Eldon asked if a year end report showing the total income for the year and where the income came from could be prepared. Assist the Firemen's Pension with expenses to bring Jody Carreiro, Actuary to Fayetteville to discuss the Actuarial Report. Jerry Friend made a motion to pay half of Jody's expense to come to Fayetteville not to exceed $400.00. Melvin Stanley seconded the motion. Upon roll call the motion passed 6-0. Mayor Coody was absent. Policemen's Pension and Relief Fund Board of Trustees Meeting Minutes October 16, 2008 Page 3 of 3 Police Pension minutes and agendas added to the City's website A discussion followed on the, minutes and agendas being added to the website through the document management system. Meeting Adjourned at 2:50 PM POLICE PENSION FUND February 2009 6800-9800 6800-9800 Month 2 Regular Mo 5335-00 5335-05 Check 2 EMP# NAME Benefit YTD Reg Benefit Suppl. YTD Suppl. Fed Tax St Tax Net 154 ALLEN, CHARLES 2584.64 5,169.28 50.00 100.00 220.00 66.89 2,347.75 206 BAYLES, BOBBI J 1587.41 3,174.82 50.00 100.00 1,637.41 107 BLACK, JOE P 1125.64 2,251.28 50.00 100.00 150.00 20.00 1,005.64 147 BRADLEY, GERALD 4820.09 9,640.18 50.00 100.00 975.00 300.00 3,595.09 139 BRADLEY, RANDALL 2860.17 5,720.34 50.00 100.00 382.00 100.00 2,428.17 167 BROWN, JOHN 4362.01 8,724.02 50.00 100.00 600.00 200.00 3,612.01 157 CARROLL,RONALD L 2106.04 4,212.08 50.00 100.00 250.00 105.00 1,801.04 151 COLE, RUSTON 3065.74 6,131.48 50.00 100.00 600.00 200.00 2,315.74 109 COOPER, ADRIAN 638.42 1,276.84 50.00 100.00 688.42 198 DENNIS, ANNA MARY 1376.88 2,753.76 50.00 100.00 1,426.88 160 DUGGER,GARY 3163.74 6,327.48 50.00 100.00 300.00 120.00 2,793.74 140 FOSTER, BILLIE D. 3207.35 6,414.70 50.00 100.00 300.00 120.00 2,837.35 148 FRIEND, JERRY 3152.68 6,305.36 50.00 100.00 800.00 150.00 2,252.68 161 HANNA, JANICE 1368.59 2,737.18 0.00 0.00 100.00 25.00 1,243.59 145 HANNA, MARK 1368.59 2,737.18 50.00 100.00 100.00 50.00 1,268.59 162 HASKINS, IRENE 782.20 1,564.40 50.00 100.00 832.20 169 HELDER, TIM 5838.12 11,676.24 50.00 100.00 750.00 250.00 4,888.12 180 HOYT, RICK 7460.01 14,920.02 50.00 100.00 1,600.00 425.00 5,485.01 146 HUTCHENS, BERNICE 1825.54 3,651.08 50.00 100.00 130.00 1,745.54 143 JOHNSON, CHARLES 2455.50 4,911.00 50.00 100.00 42.67 2,462.83 194 JOHNSON, FRANK 7974.81 15,949.62 50.00 100.00 1,600.00 500.00 5,924.81 103 JOHNSON, WENDELL 783.15 1,566.30 50.00 100.00 833.15 118 JONES, BOB 3300.45 6,600.90 50.00 100.00 0.00 3,350.45 144 KILGORE, DONALD 2046.48 4,092.96 50.00 100.00 19.72 2,076.76 129 LAWSON, FORREST 1567.90 3,135.80 50.00 100.00 350.00 1,267.90 150 LITTLE, PATSY R 730.35 1,460.70 50.00 100.00 780.35 153 LORCH, DONNA G 730.35 1,460.70 50.00 100.00 780.35 156 MARTIN, KENNETH 3692.85 7,385.70 50.00 100.00 500.00 140.00 3,102.85 128 MCCAWLEY, LARRY 1694.79 3,389.58 50.00 100.00 195.00 50.00 1,499.79 116 MCCHRISTIAN, MARIE 730.35 1,460.70 50.00 100.00 780.35 126 MCWHORTER, KAREN 1012.10 2,024.20 50.00 100.00 1,062.10 136 MITCHELL, MICHAEL 2305.29 4,610.58 50.00 100.00 150.00 2,205.29 141 MUELLER, ROSEMARY 2063.93 4,127.86 50.00 100.00 2,113.93 158 MUNSON,ANGELA 4198.15 8,396.30 50.00 100.00 500.00 0.00 3,748.15 112 MURPHY, JAKE 405.75 811.50 50.00 100.00 0.00 455.75 137 PERDUE, LARRY 2322.67 4,645.34 50.00 100.00 300.00 50.00 2,022.67 164 PERSHALL, ROBIN 1525.07 3,050.14 0.00 0.00 190.00 67.00 1,268.07 132 PHILLIPS, HOMER GENE 1754.44 3,508.88 50.00 100.00 300.00 1,504.44 199 PRESTON, NORMA J 1601.37 3,202.74 50.00 100.00 200.00 100.00 1,351.37 135 RICKMAN, LOREN 2231.07 4,462.14 50.00 100.00 230.00 65.00 1,986.07 104 RIGGINS, RAYMOND C 1669.37 3,338.74 50.00 100.00 125.00 25.00 1,569.37 183 ROBERTS, ELDON 7479.37 14,958.74 50.00 100.00 1,350.00 500.00 5,679.37 183 ROBERTS, ELDON Plus 25 add pay 1029.98 2,059.96 0.00 0.00 1,029.98 159 SCHUSTER,JOHN H. 3117.36 6,234.72 50.00 100.00 340.00 110.00 2,717.36 168 STANLEY, MELVIN 4880.07 9,760.14 50.00 100.00 1,100.00 300.00 3,530.07 155 STOUT, BETTY 866.51 1,733.02 50.00 100.00 0.00 916.51 133 SURLES, JERRY 2721.40 5,442.80 50.00 100.00 600.00 200.00 1,971.40 142 TAYLOR, DENNIS 2063.93 4,127.86 50.00 100.00 110.00 0.00 2,003.93 106 UPTON, FRANKLIN 1057.08 2,114.16 50.00 100.00 0.00 1,107.08 163 WATSON, RICHARD 6947.05 13,894.10 50.00 100.00 1,950.00 425.00 4,622.05 163 Watson, Richard Plus 25 Add'I Pay 948.76 1,897.52 0.00 0.00 948.76 149 WILLIAMS, JOYCE 2539.66 5,079.32 50.00 100.00 217.07 2,372.59 195 WITT, BETTY J 1766.83 3,533.66 50.00 100.00 115.00 64.00 1,637.83 127 WOOD, PAUL J 1580.93 3,161.86 50.00 100.00 0.00 1,630.93 136488.98 272,977.96 2,500.00 5,000.00 17,679.07 4,790.28 116,519.63 116,519.63 POLICE PENSION FUND March 2009 6800-9800 6800-9800 Month 3 Regular Mo 5335-00 5335-05 Check 3 EMP# NAME Benefit YTD Reg Benefit Suppl. YTD Suppl. Fed Tax St Tax Net 154 ALLEN, CHARLES 2584.64 7,753.92 50.00 150.00 220.00 66.89 2,347.75 206 BAYLES, BOBBI J 1587.41 4,762.23 50.00 150.00 1,637.41 107 BLACK, JOE P 1125.64 3,376.92 50.00 150.00 150.00 20.00 1,005.64 147 BRADLEY, GERALD 4820.09 14,460.27 50.00 150.00 975.00 300.00 3,595.09 139 BRADLEY, RANDALL 2860.17 8,580.51 50.00 150.00 382.00 100.00 2,428.17 167 BROWN, JOHN 4362.01 13,086.03 50.00 150.00 600.00 200.00 3,612.01 157 CARROLL,RONALD L 2106.04 6,318.12 50.00 150.00 250.00 105.00 1,801.04 151 COLE, RUSTON 3065.74 9,197.22 50.00 150.00 600.00 200.00 2,315.74 109 COOPER, ADRIAN 638.42 1,915.26 50.00 150.00 688.42 198 DENNIS, ANNA MARY 1376.88 4,130.64 50.00 150.00 1,426.88 160 DUGGER,GARY 3163.74 9,491.22 50.00 150.00 300.00 120.00 2,793.74 140 FOSTER, BILLIE D. 3207.35 9,622.05 50.00 150.00 300.00 120.00 2,837.35 148 FRIEND, JERRY 3152.68 9,458.04 50.00 150.00 800.00 150.00 2,252.68 161 HANNA, JANICE 1368.59 4,105.77 0.00 0.00 100.00 25.00 1,243.59 145 HANNA, MARK 1368.59 4,105.77 50.00 150.00 100.00 50.00 1,268.59 162 HASKINS, IRENE 782.20 2,346.60 50.00 150.00 832.20 169 HELDER, TIM 5838.12 17,514.36 50.00 150.00 750.00 250.00 4,888.12 180 HOYT, RICK 7460.01 22,380.03 50.00 150.00 1,600.00 425.00 5,485.01 146 HUTCHENS, BERNICE 1825.54 5,476.62 50.00 150.00 130.00 1,745.54 143 JOHNSON, CHARLES 2455.50 7,366.50 50.00 150.00 42.67 2,462.83 194 JOHNSON, FRANK 7974.81 23,924.43 50.00 150.00 1,600.00 500.00 5,924.81 103 JOHNSON, WENDELL 783.15 2,349.45 50.00 150.00 833.15 118 JONES, BOB 3300.45 9,901.35 50.00 150.00 0.00 3,350.45 144 KILGORE, DONALD 2046.48 6,139.44 50.00 150.00 19.72 2,076.76 129 LAWSON, FORREST 1567.90 4,703.70 50.00 150.00 350.00 1,267.90 150 LITTLE, PATSY R 730.35 2,191.05 50.00 150.00 780.35 153 LORCH, DONNA G 730.35 2,191.05 50.00 150.00 780.35 156 MARTIN, KENNETH 3692.85 11,078.55 50.00 150.00 500.00 140.00 3,102.85 128 MCCAWLEY, LARRY 1694.79 5,084.37 50.00 150.00 195.00 50.00 1,499.79 116 MCCHRISTIAN, MARIE 730.35 2,191.05 50.00 150.00 780.35 126 MCWHORTER, KAREN 1012.10 3,036.30 50.00 150.00 1,062.10 136 MITCHELL, MICHAEL 2305.29 6,915.87 50.00 150.00 150.00 2,205.29 141 MUELLER, ROSEMARY 2063.93 6,191.79 50.00 150.00 2,113.93 158 MUNSON,ANGELA 4198.15 12,594.45 50.00 150.00 500.00 0.00 3,748.15 112 MURPHY, JAKE 405.75 1,217.25 50.00 150.00 0.00 455.75 137 PERDUE, LARRY 2322.67 6,968.01 50.00 150.00 300.00 50.00 2,022.67 164 PERSHALL, ROBIN 1525.07 4,575.21 0.00 0.00 190.00 67.00 1,268.07 132 PHILLIPS, HOMER GENE 1754.44 5,263.32 50.00 150.00 300.00 1,504.44 199 PRESTON, NORMA J 1601.37 4,804.11 50.00 150.00 200.00 100.00 1,351.37 135 RICKMAN, LOREN 2231.07 6,693.21 50.00 150.00 230.00 65.00 1,986.07 104 RIGGINS, RAYMOND C 1669.37 5,008.11 50.00 150.00 125.00 25.00 1,569.37 183 ROBERTS, ELDON 7479.37 22,438.11 50.00 150.00 1,350.00 500.00 5,679.37 183 ROBERTS, ELDON Plus 25 add pay 1029.98 3,089.94 0.00 0.00 1,029.98 159 SCHUSTER,JOHN H. 3117.36 9,352.08 50.00 150.00 340.00 110.00 2,717.36 168 STANLEY, MELVIN 4880.07 14,640.21 50.00 150.00 1,100.00 300.00 3,530.07 155 STOUT, BETTY 866.51 2,599.53 50.00 150.00 0.00 916.51 133 SURLES, JERRY 2721.40 8,164.20 50.00 150.00 600.00 200.00 1,971.40 142 TAYLOR, DENNIS 2063.93 6,191.79 50.00 150.00 110.00 0.00 2,003.93 106 UPTON, FRANKLIN 1057.08 3,171.24 50.00 150.00 0.00 1,107.08 163 WATSON, RICHARD 6947.05 20,841.15 50.00 150.00 1,950.00 425.00 4,622.05 163 Watson, Richard Plus 25 Add1 Pay 948.76 2,846.28 0.00 0.00 948.76 149 WILLIAMS, JOYCE 2539.66 7,618.98 50.00 150.00 217.07 2,372.59 195 WITT, BETTY 1766.83 5,300.49 50.00 150.00 115.00 64.00 1,637.83 127 WOOD, PAUL J 1580.93 4,742.79 50.00 150.00 0.00 1,630.93 136488.98 409,466.94 2,500.00 7,500.00 17,679.07 4,790.28 116,519.63 116,519.63 POLICE PENSION FUND April 2009 6800-9800 6800-9800 Month 4 Regular Mo 5335-00 5335-05 Check 4 EMP# NAME Benefit YTD Reg Benefit Suppl. YTD Suppl. Fed Tax St Tax Net 154 ALLEN, CHARLES 2584.64 10,338.56 50.00 200.00 220.00 66.89 2,347.75 206 BAYLES, BOBBI J 1587.41 6,349.64 50.00 200.00 1,637.41 107 BLACK, JOE P 1125.64 4,502.56 50.00 200.00 150.00 20.00 1,005.64 147 BRADLEY, GERALD 4820.09 19,280.36 50.00 200.00 975.00 300.00 3,595.09 139 BRADLEY, RANDALL 2860.17 11,440.68 50.00 200.00 382.00 100.00 2,428.17 167 BROWN, JOHN 4362.01 17,448.04 50.00 200.00 600.00 200.00 3,612.01 157 CARROLL,RONALD L 2106.04 8,424.16 50.00 200.00 250.00 105.00 1,801.04 151 COLE, RUSTON 3065.74 12,262.96 50.00 .200.00 600.00 200.00 2,315.74 109 COOPER, ADRIAN 638.42 2,553.68 50.00 200.00 688.42 198 DENNIS, ANNA MARY 1376.88 5,507.52 50.00 200.00 1,426.88 160 DUGGER,GARY 3163.74 12,654.96 50.00 200.00 300.00 120.00 2,793.74 140 FOSTER, BILLIE D. 3207.35 12,829.40 50.00 200.00 300.00 120.00 2,837.35 148 FRIEND, JERRY 3152.68 12,610.72 50.00 200.00 800.00 150.00 2,252.68 161 HANNA, JANICE 1368.59 5,474.36 0.00 0.00 100.00 25.00 1,243.59 145 HANNA, MARK 1368.59 5,474.36 50.00 200.00 100.00 50.00 1,268.59 162 HASKINS, IRENE 782.20 3,128.80 50.00 200.00 832.20 169 HELDER, TIM 5838.12 23,352.48 50.00 200.00 750.00 250.00 4,888.12 180 HOYT, RICK 7460.01 29,840.04 50.00 200.00 1,600.00 425.00 5,485.01 146 HUTCHENS, BERNICE 1825.54 7,302.16 50.00 200.00 130.00 1,745.54 143 JOHNSON, CHARLES 2455.50 9,822.00 50.00 200.00 42.67 2,462.83 194 JOHNSON, FRANK 7974.81 31,899.24 50.00 200.00 1,600.00 500.00 5,924.81 103 JOHNSON, WENDELL 783.15 3,132.60 50.00 200.00 833.15 118 JONES, BOB 3300.45 13,201.80 50.00 200.00 0.00 3,350.45 144 KILGORE, DONALD 2046.48 8,185.92 50.00 200.00 19.72 2,076.76 129 LAWSON, FORREST 1567.90 6,271.60 50.00 200.00 350.00 1,267.90 150 LITTLE, PATSY R 730.35 2,921.40 50.00 200.00 780.35 153 LORCH, DONNA G 730.35 2,921.40 50.00 200.00 780.35 156 MARTIN, KENNETH 3692.85 14,771.40 50.00 200.00 500.00 140.00 3,102.85 128 MCCAWLEY, LARRY 1694.79 6,779.16 50.00 200.00 195.00 50.00 1,499.79 116 MCCHRISTIAN, MARIE 730.35 2,921.40 . 50.00 200.00 780.35 126 MCWHORTER, KAREN 1012.10 4,048.40 50.00 200.00 1,062.10 136 MITCHELL, MICHAEL 2305.29 9,221.16 50.00 200.00 150.00 2,205.29 141 MUELLER, ROSEMARY 2063.93 8,255.72 50.00 200.00 2,113.93 158 MUNSON,ANGELA 4198.15 16,792.60 50.00 200.00 500.00 0.00 3,748.15 112 MURPHY, JAKE 405.75 1,623.00 50.00 200.00 0.00 455.75 137 PERDUE, LARRY 2322.67 9,290.68 50.00 200.00 300.00 50.00 2,022.67 164 PERSHALL, ROBIN 1525.07 6,100.28 0.00 0.00 190.00 67.00 1,268.07 132 PHILLIPS, HOMER GENE 1754.44 7,017.76 50.00 200.00 300.00 1,504.44 199 PRESTON, NORMA J 1601.37 6,405.48 50.00 200.00 200.00 100.00 1,351.37 135 RICKMAN, LOREN 2231.07 8,924.28 50.00 200.00 230.00 65.00 1,986.07 104 RIGGINS, RAYMOND C 1669.37 6,677.48 50.00 200.00 125.00 25.00 1,569.37 183 ROBERTS, ELDON 7479.37 29,917.48 50.00 200.00 1,350.00 500.00 5,679.37 183 ROBERTS, ELDON Plus 25 add pay 1029.98 4,119.92 0.00 0.00 1,029.98 159 SCHUSTER,JOHN H. 3117.36 12,469.44 50.00 200.00 340.00 110.00 2,717.36 168 STANLEY, MELVIN 4880.07 19,520.28 50.00 200.00 1,100.00 300.00 3,530.07 155 STOUT, BETTY 866.51 3,466.04 50.00 200.00 0.00 916.51 133 SURLES, JERRY 2721.40 10,885.60 50.00 200.00 600.00 200.00 1,971.40 142 TAYLOR, DENNIS 2063.93 8,255.72 50.00 200.00 110.00 0.00 2,003.93 106 UPTON, FRANKLIN 1057.08 4,228.32 50.00 200.00 0.00 1,107.08 163 WATSON, RICHARD 6947.05 27,788.20 50.00 200.00 1,950.00 425.00 4,622.05 163 Watson, Richard Plus 25 Add'I Pay 948.76 3,795.04 0.00 0.00 948.76 149 WILLIAMS, JOYCE 2539.66 10,158.64 50.00 200.00 217.07 2,372.59 195 WITT, BETTY 1766.83 7,067.32 50.00 200.00 115.00 64.00 1,637.83 127 WOOD, PAUL J 1580.93 6,323.72 50.00 200.00 0.00 1,630.93 136488.98 545,955.92 2,500.00 10,000.00 17,679.07 4,790.28 116,519.63 116,519.63 LOCAL PENSION FUND REPORT 2008 In keeping with statutory requirements, I am presenting this report for 2008 on the local Police and Fire retirement funds for the City of Fayetteville. Both of these plans were closed, by law, in 1983 and there are no longer any active members remaining. There are currently 52 police and 63 fire retirees and beneficiaries in the system . At December 2008 projected expenses from the fire pension fund were in excess of$1.5 million as compared to fiord revenues of approximately $232,000.Projected police Pension fund expenses exceeded $I.7million as compared to fund revenues of approximately $424,000. This is before adjusting investment's to market value. Therefore, final losses will be even larger. Obviously, on a cash flow basis, contributions are not Close to covering expenses. Actuarial evaluations are the responsibility of the State of Arkansas Fire and Police Review Board Since these evaluations are performed biennially, the last one was completed as of December 31, 2007. Based on those evaluations the unfimded pension obligations of police and fire were $$3,100,000 and $41,700,000 respectively and had ' grown considerably from prior yeard' The unfiunded actuarially accrued liabilities for these funds were approximately $9.2 million forPoliceand $10.5 million for fire. In the annual reports issued by the Arkansas Pension Review Board neither the fire nor police pension fin were adjudged actuarially sound pursuant to established financial teats. Again, this actuarial valuation was performed before the 2008 current year. The appropriate local.oversight pension boards have been notified of these facts and are currently examining the situation and reviewing possible options. Although, the City has no direct obligation to fluid these pension plans other than a .4 mill dedicated levy for each, plus state insurance turn back and certain dedicated fees, the status of these plans need to be carefully monitored . FAYETTEVILLE THE CITY OF FAYETTEVILLE,ARKANSAS KIT WMLL4MS,CITY ATTORNEY DAVID WMAKER,ASST.CITY ATTORNEY DEPARTMENTAL CORRESPONDENCE LEGAL DEPARTMENT TO: Dan Coody, Mayor Sondra Smith, City Clerk/Treasurer . Fayetteville Firefighters Pension & Relief Board CC: Paul Becker, Finance Director FROM: Kit Williams, City Attorneys DATE: April 28, 2008 RE: Train wreck approaching No one likes to be the bearer of bad news, but I need the Fire Pension ,and Relief Board Trustees to focus on and understand the very real long term dangers to the Pension Fund. The train wreck of the total depletion of the Pension Fund's assets could be only ten years away. On August 31, 2006, 1 wrote a memo to you expressing my concerns over the large and growing unfunded liabilities of your Pension and Relief Fund. I ended that memo as follows: "Since the actuary has already determined the fund is not actuarially sound, his prediction is that the fund will be exhausted during the lifetimes of you or your beneficiary members . .. Acting as fiduciaries for every beneficiary, your duty should be to try to avoid that benefit reduction day and to try to preserve this pension fund and not allow its `deterioration of actuarial soundness.' " Reviewing page 10 of the Longer Investment Performance Summary makes me even more concerned now. Even though Longer was able to earn over $3 million on your $10 million portfolio in the last 5 '/2 years (a very strong period of stock market advance), the Fund's net value dropped $2.5 million. With only $7.5 million left, you- cannot expect to earn nearly so much the next five years. During that period, over $6 million was paid out to retirees. Although there will be no more large DROP payments, the over 104% of ending pay each retiree now receives (90% plus 3% compound interest for five years) will rapidly deplete the Pension and Relief Fund. After the next state .evaluation of ..,..._ • .. _.___. ..._.....__._...._-, .u'::^ ':....... .. ..........:: ..._.n:•...:.:':ev,.:{...'Ji�.:f.:<v.:v"l:'JA:i:_.............. .......__...:._. ..:.: ..., ...:,.�c._ .....•.. ..__._.�._......Y........_............<.IIt.i.;'?Y...,.... I warned you in my October 3, 2006 memo that the annual cash flow out of your -pension of"approximately $700,000.00 decline per year cannot be allowed to continue or by 2020, the pension fund could be broke." This might have been too optimistic as I now fear fund.bankruptey as early as 2018. SOLUTIONS? What can you as trustees of the Pension and Relief Fund do to prevent the train wreck of bankruptcy and poverty pension payments in ten years? I do not believe you it can successfully increase revenues. Remember that the school board lost its most recent millage increase election. I do not think you could win an election to increase millage so you could continue to receive over 100% of ending salary. If you cannot increase revenue or get the City Council to spend the millions it would take to send .you to LOPFI, then your only option is to reduce benefits to sustainable levels. The earlier that benefits are returned to sustainable levels, the less they will have to be reduced. Delaying corrective actions while the pension fund continues to deplete will only make the situation more difficult and the benefit reductions more extreme in the future. In four or five years, your fund could lose another one-third of its value and be reduced to under five million dollars. That means another one-third or more potential earnings from the fund's investment earnings which (with the .4 millage and any insurance turnback) is all you have to pay your benefits will be gone forever. Depleting your fund is like eating your seed corn. Bankruptcy and famine would be the result. Once you receive your biennial actuarial valuation this summer or early fall, you should determine what a sustainable level of benefits is possible with your remaining pension fund balance. You might also look forward to see what the likely balance of your fund would be in five years (with no change) and what amount of benefits could be sustainably funded. Then it will be time to choose your medicine: a little now or a lot more later. If this board .does nothing to remedy this problem and allows the pension fund's investment account to continue to be paid out for ,current benefits, within a decade or so the pension fund account will be gone and your pension fund will be bankrupt. All pension benefits will then be drastically reduced placing all your pensioners in dire financial straits. Benefits must be reduced to sustainable levels very soon to avoid this train wreck scenario. FAYETTEVILLE THE CITY OF FAYETTEVUE,ARKANSAS KIT WILUWS,CITY ATTORNEY DA`RD WHTIAKER,ASST.CITY ATTORNEY DEPARTMENTAL CORRESPONDENCE LEGALDEPARTMENT TO: Firefighters Pension and Relief Board FROM: Kit Williams, City Attorne _ DATE: October 3, 2006 RE: Revenue Supporting Pension Amendment 31 provides that: "After consent of the'majority of those voting on the question at any general or special election in cities of the first or second class, the cities may annually thereafter levy a tax (for the pension fund) . . .." Fayetteville voters approved a half mill for the Firemen's Pension and Relief Fund which had to be rolled back to .4 mills because of Amendment 59. I am somewhat concerned because the constitutional language is permissive "may" rather than the mandatory shall "annually thereafter levy a tax". A.C.A. §24-11-812 makes this annual levy mandatory, . "shall. be levied annually by the city . . .." It is. easier to change statutes than the constitution. Property,taxes have been a "hot button" issue in the recent past so it is possible. this 'statute could be amended to allow ending of this millage. Other statutory support for the old pension plan (insurance policy premiums, etc.) could also be moved to the new plan. If these revenue supports are taken away from the old plan;. it will be far from actuarially . sound. It would almost certainly also fail the thirty year cash flow projections which relyupon current funding measures to remain in place. The Dow Jones Industrial Average is back up to its historical highs of 2000-2001. Unfortunately the assets of the pension fund have declined by $2.7 million since December 2001 . With the Dow Jones about .equal at these dates, it is not the stock market, :but the benefit increases of 2001, 2003 and 2005 and the inherent lack of adequate revenue to offset these increasing benefits that have led to the pension fund's two million seven hundred thousand dollar decline in four years. This approximately $700,000.00 decline per year cannot be allowed to continue or by 2020, the pension fund could be broke. Because there are only three more DROP members who will be paid several hundred thousand dollars out of the pension fund in the next couple of years, I hope the trust funds' decline will slow. Please keep in mind that the decline in your fund means there is less money to invest to earn income and so more of the principal must be used to pay benefits (which speeds up the decline of your total assets). Although the Fayetteville Firemen's Pension and Relief Fund is supported by Fayetteville city millage pursuant to a vote of the citizens, the City of Fayetteville, itself, is NOT responsible to make pension payments if the pension fund goes broke, The Pension Board administers the Pension Fund and is responsible to make certain it remains healthy. There has been some discussion in the past about the possibility of the City Council declaring the fire pension fund to be "inactive" and assigning it to the Arkansas 'Local Police and Fire Retirement System (LOPFI) pursuant to A.C.A. §24-11-804. This could also be done for the police pension fund pursuant to A.C.A. §24-11-406. If this were to be done, the benefits would be secured because the City .Council would have to agree to pay for the unfunded liability of the pension fund. With the unfunded accrued liability ballooning to Ten Million Dollars for the fire pension fund because of'the 2001 benefit increase to 90% of ending salary and additional benefit increases in 2003 and 2005, the price tag is now probably too high for the city taxpayers. Both of these statutes are not mandatory, but permissive: "the pension fund may be declared as inactive by the employer." Thus, it is the City Council's sole decision and discretion whether or not the city taxpayers should be taxed to pay the unfunded liability of the pension funds 2 in addition to the annual city nullage. If the pension boards hope to get the City Council to agree to send the pension funds to LOPFI sometime in the future, it should do whatever is possible to reduce this ballooning deficit. Increasing benefits 'again will only worsen the problem. What happens if the pension fund runs out of money? I could find no statute requiring a city to pay (unless the City Council declared a pension fund "inactive"). Instead, the law is that: "(T)he board of trustees pays the full minimum benefit each month to all eligible beneficiaries until the assets in the fund are depleted for the fiscal year, at which time all payments shall cease . . .. A.C.A. §24-11-807. 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CO e Q U xy .O N cc an cc E vJ N Q T y ^y`/ m a W m `C o N 0) m m a? g C N O o y `�_ 0) a to o p 12LLC7a y C t` m d �_ 3 V 0 (DE c m � —ca 'cm o rn v w `° (gyp OQ a 0) = o ty � oE E E o ca m co (�N Dw. _jUj oa) N CL 4) CL c oCa 4 4) Nm o teQLaa) o mw > o °) E EE y �m3 0 04 CL U0( E LL VLL y LL �pp U No d d % d 7 0 3 > N = (a N oa4) � CL m oaEEMoom o m o K o � ° 4) to o a) 7tit W W co -j co 1 ov Q RECEIVE LONGER INVESTMENTS INCORPORATED NOV 012008 A Registered Inveshnmt Advisor CITY OF FAYETTEVILLE CITY CLERK'S OFFICE November 3, 2008 Ms. Sondra Smith City of Fayetteville Police Pension Fund 113 W. Mountain St. Fayetteville, Arkansas 72701 Dear Sondra: Greetings from the frontlines! When we wrote the update letter on September 22, 2008, the TARP (Troubled Asset Relief Program) was in the process of coming to Congress for a vote. After it was voted down in the House, it was passed with a few modifications and sweeteners in the Senate. Once it passed both houses of Congress and President Bush signed it into law, the investing public's attention turned from financial Armageddon to economic weakness. We have seen a massive, coordinated response to the crisis by the Federal Reserve (the Fed) and the legislative and executive branches of the U.S. government. It is hard to enumerate all the programs, subsidies and rescues we have seen in just the month since the last letter. In addition, the Fed has cut interest rates by a full percent since September— in mid-month by 50 basis points in coordination with world central banks and then again last week at the regular Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting. The Fed funds rate sits at 1%, the all-time low, as a result. The stock market is down approximately 34% year-to-date and was down 17% in October. It had been worse (down 42% and 27%, respectively) before Tuesday's double-digit percentage gain. It was a very challenging month, marked by records being set in volume, volatility, intraday swings, daily declines and daily rallies. The markets are going through a violent period of unwinding the leverage that built up in the good times in banks, hedge funds, households, businesses, insurance companies and brokerage firms and moving to a posture that reflects the new economic future. As a result, not only have we seen tremendous volatility on the surface with the market indices, but also within the market itself as sector volatility has been even more pronounced. The chart on page two (Chart 1) shows that 10-year annualized returns over two centuries have bottomed out at 2.3% to 2.5%. This chart goes through September 30, and when updated through the end of October, the returns are negative over a 10-year period. In other words, this is a once-in-200-years occurrence. The other world markets are responding to the uncertainty with wild swings as well. The euro has declined relative to the dollar from a level of 160 to 128 (a dollar gain of 20%) in three months. This has resulted in a collapse in gold, oil and food commodities as a strong dollar works to suppress the world prices of these commodities. The yen has strengthened relative to the dollar and the euro as hedge fund "yen carry" trades are unwound. Basically as firms deleverage, they are paying off the loans they took out in Japan when interest rates were low, which they then used to buy U.S. or European assets. As those loans come due or are called, firms must buy yen to repay them. This creates a shortage of yen and the price goes up. All of this disrupts trade flows so there is now a coordinated effort to intervene in the currency markets to slow the rise in the yen. It all reminds me of a song we used to sing as kids: "The hip bone's connected to the thigh bone, the thigh bone's connected to the knee bone, ...." Because of the international nature of the crisis, no asset markets have escaped. International funds have declined more than U.S. funds (the EAFE is down 45% year-to-date), and gold/commodity and real estate funds have also declined dramatically. Even investment-grade bond funds are down double-digit amounts year-to-date. We live in a world of interconnectivity of markets, trade and currencies. It is complex, and the events in one country affect other countries in sometimes unpredictable ways. In many respects, we are in uncharted territory in this crisis F0. Box 1269 Fayetteville,Arkansas 72702 Telephone:479-443-5851 Toll free: 800-827-7710 Fax:479-443-7129 Web site:www.longeiinv.com Ms. Sondra Smith November 3, 2008 Page Two Chart 1 For nearly two centuries, the 10 year moving average returns of U.S. large cap stocks has historically bottomed out at 2.3% to 2.5% Annualized returns of U.S. stocks have only 25% been this low hvice over the last 100 years. 23% Can a bottom be close? � 20% :E A 2 � 1 , 1695 :� ........................... 15% if f �l3 M'�} 1 k E •ae 1 s. 3% ___......-------------- ._k'.. _._ .. --------------------------------------- - "--- n% N O V q N .p O O g N .D O V 0 N fp O V M N fD D V g N .O O d q N tp O O q N 10 O V g N tD O O M As of September 23,2008 Source:Sldel,Nlcptau5.& Company,Inc. 10-vf.Moving Avg.U.S.urge capiralintion Conunon Stock nominal rota returns;total return IsµIce+dividends)from 1827 Ln pnsenl and that is why you see officials scrambling for solutions. Speed was of the essence to avoid a collapse of the banking and brokerage system. America was able to bring all powers of government to bear and mount a multifaceted attack to forestall financial calamity. As the government intervention takes hold and is implemented, eventually the fears of depression will subside. Then the attention turns to the recession which we are just entering. How long will it be and how deep? What policy initiatives are left (in terms of fiscal and monetary policy) to stimulate the economy out of the doldrums, since so much monetary and fiscal stimulus has gone into saving the financial system? We don't have the answers to those questions yet. There are some things we know with certainty, though. They include: • Consumer spending is down and will remain so for some time. The household sector has been financing consumption by using the house as a piggy bank for years, extracting equity to fund purchases as interest rates declined. Mortgage Equity Withdrawals (MEW) have been a significant prop to GDP (gross domestic product) growth since 2000 (see Chart 2 on page three). As MEWS decline to near-zero, this method of funding consumer spending is gone. The household sector has had a negative savings rate for the last few years, as rising asset values in houses and retirement accounts allayed concerns about saving for retirement. That game is over. With the collapse in both major assets of real estate and retirement accounts, households will shift to build savings. We may see the savings rate approach 5% to 7% again as we emerge from this crisis. This will affect demand as consumer spending represents 70% of GDP. • State and municipal governments will face difficult times as sales tax, property tax and business and personal income taxes decline. As well, the demands on state budgets will continue to rise as unemployment swells. State and government spending makes up 11% of GDP. This is just beginning to weaken, but will be a drag for some time. Ms. Sondra Smith November 3, 2008 Page Three Chart 2 00P mwtb With ark dt out McO 4 n . `GOP as 2- W, MEW 13 , 2t�(!t. • Corporate "animal spirits" are in abeyance. Corporate confidence is down, and you can hear this in the conference calls with CEOs as they comment on earnings releases. The outlook is unclear, and they are cutting staff or implementing hiring freezes to hunker down for the storm to pass. Capital spending plans are being curtailed. All of this affects many sectors of the economy — travel and entertainment, capital goods, equipment companies, technology companies and business services. The pullback in consumer, corporate and government demand raises the uncertainty about how long and how deep the recession will be. The first indication of third-quarter GDP was released Thursday, and it was down 0.3%. Most economists are forecasting fourth-quarter declines of 3% to 4%, with unemployment rising to 7.5% or 8% at its peak. Depending on how quickly the TARP gets implemented and other programs kick in, we may be coming out of this by second half of 2009. But, for the year 2009, economists are still expecting negative growth. Our Stratenv Truly, the world has changed since September. Times like this require a restructuring of portfolios. We entered this period of uncertainty underweight equities in our portfolios. With the market off 35% to 42% from its high, we began deploying cash balances into equities that are defensive in nature, have strong balance sheets with conservative debt structures, carry investment grade credit ratings on their outstanding debt, pay a generous dividend and exhibit a history of stability in dividend payments. By doing so, we have moved the equity portfolios to a point where they now have the taxable-equivalent yield from dividends that an investor would receive on a 10-year Treasury bond. We are also utilizing option hedging strategies to increase portfolio income and thereby capitalizing on the higher option prices resulting from increased volatility. If we are in a prolonged trading range in the stock market, the income yield on the portfolio will become an important part of total return. We have had to sell investments that did not fit with this new economic reality in order to be better postured for what lies ahead and so that we can emerge from this as strongly positioned as possible. Whereas before we may have held some small-capitalization stocks for added growth, they have been sold for larger-capitalization companies that pay generous dividends. Small companies may have more difficulty gaining access to capital in this environment and so it is not worth the risk to own them. Ms. Sondra Smith November 3, 2008 Page Four The repositioning has resulted in realized losses for this year. In taxable accounts, realized losses that are not offset with gains in this tax year are carried forward to next year and the next — they don't run out. And if capital gains taxes go up in the years to come, the losses will be even more valuable for tax savings next year. In tax-deferred accounts it makes no difference between a realized or an unrealized loss. So, it is much better to take the loss, and reposition than to sit with investments that no longer feel aligned with the new outlook. In fixed-income portfolio holdings, we remain very defensively invested. This has truly helped performance since even investment-grade bond funds are down double-digits this year due to the capital concerns in the corporate debt markets. The only areas in the bond market that have delivered positive returns are government agency debt, Treasury debt, and the highest investment-grade municipal debt. We will remain defensive until the credit markets become more orderly. We will continue to invest in the short end of the maturity spectrum as we believe the end result of all these massive liquidity injections and policy responses will ultimately be higher inflation, accompanied by higher long-term interest rates. Therefore, we are willing to pass up the higher current income in longer-dated bonds to avoid the price decline on bonds if interest rates rise. A Final Note We will come through this. We have been through bear markets before. In the 2000-2002 bear market (which was the first three-year consecutive decline since 1939-1942), the S&P 500 declined 50.5% and the NASDAQ was down by 78.4%. Following that decline, the markets gained 39% (S&P 500) and 71% (NASDAQ) between September of 2002 and December of 2003. Snap-back rallies can be very strong and quick. This is why we never advocate leaving equities completely, unless circumstances have changed that would alter the long-term investment plan. The liquidity in the system is such that the recovery on the other side of the abyss could be quite impressive. The government will need to regulate the financial system more comprehensively and provide better, coordinated oversight of the financial services industry that heretofore has gone unregulated and unchecked (mortgage companies and hedge funds, in particular). America will likely emerge before Europe as our government is months ahead in addressing the problem and delivering policies and capital to solve it. We have been able to move more quickly and in a more coordinated manner than has Europe, with its differing countries and cultures and the European Central Bank that keeps proclaiming its only mandate is inflation control — while banks fail all around it. The election outcome will be important to the markets since tax, trade, regulation and labor policies are starkly different between the presidential candidates. So, that means you'll hear from me again after the election. I hope this finds all of you well and enjoying life in spite of the turmoil. We welcome all of your questions and appreciate your support and well-wishes. We are honored to be trusted to navigate through this turmoil on your behalf. Please feel free to call. Sincerely, Elaine M. Longer, CFA President RECEIVE® LONGER INVESTMENTS INCORPORATED A Registered Investtnent Advisor DEC 212008 CITY OF FAYETTEVILLE CITY CLERK'S OFFICE December 18, 2008 Ms. Sondra Smith City of Fayetteville Police Pension Fund 113 W. Mountain St. Fayetteville, Arkansas 72701 Dear Sondra: Happy holidays! To say that a lot has happened since we sent out the last update letter on November 3, 2008, is a huge understatement. I have to quote one of my friends in the investment management business who said, "The last three months have been the longest 10 years of my life." We all feel that way as this historic year draws to a close. Today we will peer into the foggy crystal ball to give an outlook for 2009 — as much as is possible at this point in time. Federal Reserve Policv The Federal Reserve (the Fed) cut interest rates this week by 0.75% to 1 .00% bringing the federal funds rate to a historic low of 0% to 0.25%. This will move the prime borrowing rate to 3.00% to 3.25%. As low as these yields sound, the market had already moved lower. The U.S. Treasury auctioned three-month Treasury bills (T-bills) last week at a rate of 0.00% interest. No, that is not a typo. But the real punch line in this story is the fact that there were four times as many buyers at that zero-percent yield as there were T-bills offered by the U.S. government. Why would anyone want to invest in a zero-return T-bill? It's a safe place to hide until the storm passes. T-bills are the most liquid, short-maturity debt instruments that carry the full faith and credit of the United States, and right now people are willing to earn nothing on their capital just to know it's safe. The 10-year Treasury note has also declined to a 58-year low of 2.1% as the Fed has become an active buyer of longer-maturity debt instruments in order to drive long-term rates lower. The Fed is doing this because mortgage rates key off the 10-year Treasury yield, and the government wants to see lower mortgage rates to improve the housing market's recovery. It is working; since this week the 30-year fixed- rate mortgage dropped below 5%. This 10-year yield represents a low 1 .36% aftertax return (based on a 35% federal income tax rate). This is a very low return and poses significant risk, given the downward volatility in price that an investor will experience when rates rise again. The duration (measure of volatility inherent in a debt instrument in response to a 1% change in interest rates) on the current 10-year Treasury note is 9.0. In other words, if the 10-year yield returns to 3.5% next year, an investor who buys this note at current rates will experience a drop of 12.6% in the price of the bond — equivalent to six years of income return. If rates return to levels just seen in June of 4.3%, the decline would be 19.8%, equivalent to 9.4 years of pre-tax income. In our opinion, this represents significant price risk to investors and is the reason we continue to favor short-term debt instruments of the highest quality, brokered certificates of deposit, Treasury Inflation-Protected Securities (TIPS) and investment-grade corporate debt. We agree with one prognosticator that the longer-dated Treasury bonds represent "return-free risk" rather than "risk-free return." Once we get traction from the aggressive monetary and fiscal stimulus measures the government is implementing, we anticipate long-term government bonds will be the next bubble to burst, and investors who have bought them could experience a significant decline in price as attention turns to inflation from deflation. Our fixed-income strategy remains — highest credit quality, short-term maturity. P.O. Box 1269 Fayetteville,Arkansas 72702 Telephone:479-443-5851 Toll free: 800-827-7710 Fax:479-443-7129 Web site: www.longeiinvcom Ms. Sondra Smith December 18, 2008 Page Two Equities The credit crisis is now nearly 17 months old, dating from the blow-up of Bear Stearns hedge funds in the summer of 2007. Along the way, it wreaked havoc among financial firms and spread to the real economy in 2008. Economists now say we entered a recession at the end of 2007, so we are nearly one year into it. The recessionary forces have deepened in the last two months and, as a result, unemployment has risen to 6.7% with a loss of nearly one million jobs in October and November alone. S&P 500 earnings estimates have declined to a level of $74 for 2008. Estimates for 2009 range from $30 to a high of$63. At this point, no one really knows the earnings capability of U.S. corporations in 2009. We have yet to see improvement in demand and growth, and the outlook is uncertain even to those who sit in corporate boardrooms. The Fed's move this week is a strong-arm move to try to get in front of the economy's negative momentum and arrest the decline. It is a massive show of force, not just in the decline in the targeted interest rates on fed funds to a range of 0.00% to 0.25%, but also in the range of securities the Fed will be purchasing. They are telling the markets, "we mean business," and they will not pull back until they see growth resume. However, Fed policy alone won't solve the problems we are experiencing. In January, as the new Congress and new administration come in, we can expect a fiscal stimulus program in the $500 to $700 billion range. The 2009 fiscal deficit will likely top $1 trillion. X The combination of fiscal and monetary stimulus could very well bring about improvement in the economic outlook by the second half of 2009. Of course, the stock market will improve six to nine months before the economy improves. The stock market is a component of the Leading Economic Indicators because it discounts economic events in advance (typically by six to nine months). Although the news is dire right now, we have to realize that the market may have already discounted what we are experiencing by falling 52% from the November 2007 high of 1 ,576 (S&P 500) to the November 2008 low of 741 . Strategy Our equity strategy, as detailed in the November letter, is to invest in high-quality stocks with strong balance sheets that pay a good dividend. Our goal is to increase the income yield on the stock allocation in portfolios. We have achieved a dividend yield equivalent to or higher than the 10-year Treasury yield in stock portfolios. For the first time in 50 years, the yield on the S&P 500 exceeds the 10-year Treasury yield (see Chart 1). Stocks can still get cheaper relative to bonds, but we are now at a 50-year extreme in relative valuations based on yield. Chart 1 S&PS00 dividend yield and U6 le-year Treasury bond yield 18 (%) - -- S&P500 dividend yield 16 --US 10-year Treasury bond yield 14 - 12 - 10 - 8 - 6 4121086 4 2 i 0 1953 1958 1963 1968 1973 1978 1983 1988 1993 1998 2003 2008 Source: Bloomberg, Datastream, Federal Reserve, AAII, Standard & Poor's Ms. Sondra Smith December 18, 2008 Page Three Many other measures of valuation point to an undervaluation of stocks relative to fixed-income returns. However, at present this is not about valuation and relative attractiveness of various asset classes. What we are witnessing is a giant margin call on the world. Unwinding of hedge funds and leveraged investment vehicles, mutual fund redemptions, etc. all take place at "market value" since their calls for cash don't wait for calmer times — it is typically "before the close." As a result, in times like these the intraday volatility is extreme and end-of-day swoons to sell before the close of trading are commonplace. I believe we will continue to see a reduction in the leveraged asset play (hedge funds) as we move into 2009. Even for those funds that have had good performance in this year, leverage ratios may decline from 20 to 25 times capital to a more modest 5 to 10 times, for instance, as banks and providers of capital reduce exposure to risk. Although it is a painful process to endure, in the long run it should lead to a healthier market environment. If you look at Table A, you will see the duration and magnitude of previous bear markets. In terms of magnitude, this bear market ranks as third worst, dating back to the Depression and the pre-World War II era. However, for bear markets of this degree, you can see the duration is short — at this point having lasted only 238 trade days. We expect continued backing and filling and testing of the November lows as we get into 2009. This is why we use the exchange-traded funds representing the Dow Jones Industrial Average and the S&P 500 to control asset allocation, buying the dips and selling the rallies. We utilize these instruments to float between fully invested and under-invested as we work with this volatility. Table A Magnitude and Duration of Bear Markets Duration Date Beginning Date End Magnitude (Trading Days) 09/16/1929 07/08/1932 -86.2% 704 03//10/(1937 04/28/1942 -60.0% 1 ,284 l97;��'� t c� E.a r ✓ meg :jQt » t k"•^ + sv3,r�'� u „fit..,i;'rt6t:t«s'axa&RyQ«.«.,«.� .t��',�.E�kv�w,n.;i iia%c,....<.,, a,.«w.. aiMaS? ,3 t; .'.«::aw,xw>� ✓ Y",.,,,t'^' ��..1.,'U „a ,..«».«�.,;: .�"�e'S�' I Pr 03/24/2000 10/09/2002 -49.1% 637 01/19/1906 11/15/1907 -48.5% 459 01/11/1973 10/03/1974 -48.2% 436 06/17/1901 11/09/1903 -46.1% 602 11/03/1919 12/21/1920 -44.2% 283 11/21/1916 12/19/1917 -40.1% 268 11/29/1968 05/26/1970 -36.1% 369 08/25/1987 12/04/1987 -33.5% 71 05/29/1946 06/13/1949 -29.6% 761 11/19/1909 07/30/1914 -29.0% 1 ,178 12/11/1961 06/26/1962 -27.7% 136 11/28/1980 08/12/1982 -27.1% 430 02/09/1966 10/07/1966 -22.2% 167 08/02/1956 10/22/1957 -21 .6% 307 07/16/1990 10/11/1990 -19.9% 62 09/21/1976 03/06/1978 -19.4% 366 08/03/1959 10/25/1960 -13.9% 311 Source: ISI Group Ms. Sondra Smith December 18, 2008 Page Four And so the final question is: Why do we keep trying to stay invested in equities, bloody and bruised as we are? The main reason is this may represent a once-in-a-generation opportunity to establish equity ownership in many blue-chip American corporations at attractive prices. We know few things with certainty these days, but we do know that you can't fund pension plans, foundations, college accounts and retirement plans with zero-return T-bills. Everyone who is parked there will have to return to stocks, at some point, to fund their investment goals. The 10-year annual compound return (ACR) through the end of November was -2.58% per year, excluding dividends. This matches the negative 10-year returns from late 1928 to late 1938 and from early 1930 to early 1940. Table B shows that when 10-year annual returns fall to 1% or less, the next ten years produce an average cumulative return of+183%. So, the worst of times may lead to the best of times. Table B Ten-Year Performance Following Ten Years of Less than 1.25% Performance (ACR) Prior Annual 10-Year Compound Total ACR Return Return -3.65% Q2 1939 to Q2 1949 8.62% 129% -2.79% Q1 1939 to Q1 1949 9.12% 139% -2.74% Q3 1939 to Q3 1949 7.74% 111% -2.54% Q1 1938 to Q1 1948 11 .76% 204% -1 .42% Q1 1940 to Q1 1950 9.65% 151% -1 .42% Q2 1940 to Q2 1950 12.19% 216% -0.65% Q4 1938 to Q4 1948 7.21% 101% WORST -0.10% Q3 1938 to Q3 1948 8.12% 118% 0.18% Q3 1940 to Q3 1950 12.57% 227% 0.20% Q4 1937 to Q4 1947 9.61% 150% 0.23% Q4 1939 to Q4 1949 9.09% 139% 0.44% Q2 1938 to Q2 1948 9.52% 148% 0.49% Q3 1974 to Q3 1984 15.58% 325% BEST 0.71% Q1 1941 to Q1 1951 14.47% 286% 1 .24% Q4 1974 to Q4 1984 14.76% 296% Average 10.67% 183% Source: The Leuthold Group But when will the tone of the market change and assume a positive direction? To this question I have no answer. We vigilantly watch and monitor the news, policies, economic releases, earnings, etc. We adhere to our time-tested disciplines. The technical overlay we employ has aided us this year as we have observed cheap stocks can always get cheaper as the situation develops and variables change. We are finding values at these levels but remain alert to the changing circumstances and are willing to adopt an even more defensive posture, if warranted. It is still a fluid environment and the worst thing we can do is to not expect the unexpected. We will continue to send these frequent, informal communiques versus our usual quarterly newsletter to keep you abreast, on a timelier basis, of the markets and circumstances as they develop. We will know more as January arrives and fourth quarter earnings (and corporate outlooks) are released, the new Congress takes shape, the new President is sworn in and the auto bailout is revisited. In the meantime, we remain underweight in the consumer and financial sectors as we believe those areas of the economy remain the most vulnerable. Ms. Sondra Smith December 18, 2008 Page Five On a personal note This year has challenged all of us and we thank you for your support, well-wishes and prayers as we have done the fire walk. Knowledge garnered with 25 years' experience has been upended by a historic, cataclysmic event for which none of us alive today have a reference point. It has been a time to revisit long- standing investment philosophies and to hone analytical skills and disciplines. We remain committed to finding safe and attractive investment opportunities for your portfolios and to capitalize as conservatively as possible on the opportunities as they are presented. Best wishes for a joyful holiday season with loved ones and a new year filled with good health and, yes, prosperity. From all of us — Happy Holidays! Sincerely, Elaine M. Longer, CFA President EML/kmc RECEIVE® LONGER INVESTMENTS INCORPORATED DEC 2 6 20o A Registered Inveshnent Advisor C'Ty OF FAYETT'EVILEE CITY CLERK'S OFFICE December 22, 2008 Ms. Sondra Smith City of Fayetteville Police Pension Fund 113 W. Mountain St. Fayetteville, Arkansas 72701 Dear Sondra: The Bernard Madoff scandal has been at the forefront of national news since word of his firm's alleged $50 billion fraud was released ten days age. We have received inquiries from clients - about his scam and want to address the difference between the way the City's funds and those of Mr. Madoff's clients are handled. We recognize the level of trust placed in Longer Investments to allow us to manage funds on behalf of the City of Fayetteville Police Pension Fund, and we welcome your questions. The deception took place in the hedge funds Mr. Madoff managed, which are neither regulated by the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) nor required to hold client assets with a third-party custodian. He was the only person reporting on the value of assets in those hedge funds, and he could drain money from the funds while continuing to report that the value was unchanged. The management of the Police Pension Fund's assets differs in the following ways: • Our client assets are held at nationally recognized third-party custodians. • Client assets are held in individual accounts in each client's name. No client assets are held in pooled accounts. • You receive reports from both Longer Investments Inc. and from the custodian. We are not the only firm reporting the value of the assets. • Longer Investments Inc. is registered with the SEC, and everything we do falls under SEC oversight. We hope this will alleviate any concerns the recent news stories may have caused. We appreciate the opportunity to manage funds on behalf of the Police Pension Fund and thank you again for the confidence you have placed in our firm. Please feel free to contact us if you have any additional questions. Sincerely, Elaine M. Longer, CFA :. President P.O. Box 1269 Fayetteville,Arkansas 72702 Telephone:479-443-5851 Toll flee: 800-827-7710, Fax:479-443-7129 Web site: www.longetinvcom . Rj ECEIVED JAN 12 2009 CITY OF FAYETTEVILLE LONGER INVESTMENTS INCORPORATED CITY CLERK'S OFFICE A Registered Investtnent Advisor January 10, 2009 Ms. Sondra Smith City of Fayetteville Police Pension Fund 113 W. Mountain St. Fayetteville, Arkansas 72701 Dear Sondra: Enclosed you will find the 2008 fourth-quarter reports for the City of Fayetteville Police Pension Fund. These reports include a portfolio appraisal and a summary of realized gains/losses and income/expenses. Detailed reports of realized gains/losses and income/expenses are included at the back of the report package. As instructed, the account at Northern Trust will be billed for the management fee. Performance for 2008 is detailed below. Performance is quoted net of all fees and expenses. Domestic Foreign Government Total Equities Funds Bonds Account City of Fayetteville Police Pension Fund -40.2% -40.0% 6.5% -19.1% In comparison, 2008 performance of the market indices is listed below: S&P 500 (cash basis) -38.5% S&P 500 (with reinvested dividends) -37.0% Dow Jones Industrial Average (cash basis) -33.8% NASDAQ over-the-counter index -40.5% Russell 2000 small-capitalization index -34.8% MSCI Europe Far-East Australasia Index (cash basis) -45.1% P.O. Box 1269 Fayetteville,Arkansas 72702 Telephone:479-443-5851 Toll free: 800-827-77I0 Fax:479-443-7129 Web site: wwwlongobwcom Ms. Sondra Smith January 10, 2009 Page Two This has been a year when only the highest quality bonds (U.S. Treasury and agency debt and high-grade municipal debt) performed well. As the credit crisis progressed, investors even shunned investment-grade corporate debt due to the uncertainty that credit ratings would decline. Some money markets "broke the buck" causing capital to flow to the Treasury bill market and Treasury-only money market funds. We have always invested assets in government money market funds, feeling the risk was never worth the increase in yield to invest in funds loaded with commercial paper. Our conservative stance has served us well this year, as we covered in detail in our recent letter, and we remain with our strategy of investing in the highest quality debt of a conservative maturity. The enclosed reports reflect net realized capital losses for 2008. For the reasons we outlined for you throughout the year, the losses are higher than we've previously reported for a one-year period. It was a year in which we had to "run for cover" in order to protect the total portfolio from the dramatic decline in the market. Because there are no consequences for realized gains or losses in a retirement portfolio such as the Police Pension Fund, performance considerations are most important in a volatile year like last year. It is also important to note that the losses are approximately equal to the gains realized in the portfolio in the two-year period from 2006 through 2007. Our client update letter, which was mailed on December 17, discussed the recent activity in the equity and fixed-income markets and our strategy for the new year. If you did not receive it, or if you would like us to send it again, please let us know. Longer Investments appreciates the opportunity to assist with the management of the City of Fayetteville Police Pension Fund's assets. We appreciate your support and patience during the year. We wish you the best of health and happiness in the new year. Please do not hesitate to call if you have any questions or comments, or if we can be of further service. Sincerely, 4Longer 41�aine M. President EML:kmc Enclosures City of Fayetteville Police Pension Fund FOURTH QUARTER REPORTS Deceember 311, 2008 i i LONGER INVESTMENTS INCORPORATED A Registered Investment Advisor i i I 1 Longer Investments Inc. PORTFOLIO APPRAISAL City of Fayetteville Police Pension Fund December 31, 2008 Unit Total Market Pct. Unit Annual Cur. Quantity Security Cost Cost Price Value Assets Income Income Yield Common Stock 2,720 AT & T 24.71 67,217.71 28.50 77,520.00 1.0 1.640 4,460.80 6.6 2,160 Accenture Ltd. 31.71 68,493.82 32.79 70,826.40 0.9 0.500 1,080.00 1.6 2,080 Allergan Inc. 37.52 78,041.39 40.32 83,865.60 1.1 0.200 416.00 0.5 2,815 Amphenol Corp. 24.43 68,778.61 23.98 67,503.70 0.9 0.060 168.90 0.2 2,310 Boeing Co. 41.37 95,575.88 42.67 98,567.70 1.3 1.680 3,880.80 4.1 3,050 Caterpillar Inc. 57.76 176,162.45 44.67 136,243.50 1.7 1.680 5,124.00 2.9 6,065 Cisco Systems, Inc. 16.10 97,619.17 16.30 98,859.50 1.3 0.000 0.00 0.0 1,875 ConocoPhillips 50.40 94,500.38 51.80 97,125.00 1.2 1.880 3,525.00 3.7 2,530 Dover Corp. 29.71 75,160.73 32.92 83,287.60 1.1 1.000 2,530.00 3.4 19,075 Financial Select Sector 17.74 338,484.71 12.52 238,819.00 3.0 0.730 13,931.62 4.1 SPDR Fund 3,650 Freeport-McMoRan 41.45 151,280.82 24.44 89,206.00 1.1 0.000 0.00 0.0 Copper& Gold 1,565 General Dynamics Corp. 54.71 85,618.23 57.59 90,128.35 1.1 1.400 2,191.00 2.6 325 Google 308.72 100,332.96 307.65 99,986.25 1.3 0.000 0.00 0.0 5,240 Health Care Select 25.60 134,147.67 26.55 139,122.00 1.8 0.631 3,308.96 2.5 Sector SPDR Fund 5,715 Ingersoll-Rand Co. Ltd. 17.41 99,525.41 17.35 99,155.25 1.3 0.720 4,114.80 4.1 8,100 Intel Corp. 18.00 145,783.05 14.66 118,746.00 1.5 0.560 4,536.00 3.1 3,650 Kraft Foods Inc. 30.36 110,806.24 26.85 98,002.50 1.2 1.160 4,234.00 3.8 5,250 Microsoft Corp. 29.63 155,549.72 19.44 102,060.00 1.3 0.520 2,730.00 1.8 1,115 Monsanto Co. 70.05 78,101.62 70.35 78,440.25 1.0 0.960 1,070.40 1.4 6,080 Oracle Corp. 16.77 101,940.39 17.73 107,798.40 1.4 0.000 0.00 0.0 1,630 Parker Hannifin Corp. 38.41 62,615.96 42.54 69,340.20 0.9 1.000 1,630.00 2.6 9,000 Powershares Dynamic 20.61 185,478.44 13.91 125,190.00 1.6 0.177 1,589.76 0.9 Energy Exploration 1,625 Schlumberger Limited 82.97 134,821.53 42.33 68,786.25 0.9 0.840 1,365.00 1.0 5,000 Standard & Pours 96.79 483,953.10 90.24 451,200.00 5.7 2.877 14,386.80 3.0 Depository Receipts 1,500 Stericycle, Inc. 52.68 79,014.60 52.08 78,120.00 1.0 0.000 0.00 0.0 2,350 Teva Pharmaceuticals 39.30 92,354.20 42.57 100,039.50 1.3 0.520 1,222.00 1.3 J 8,575 The Technology Select 16.06 137,714.50 15.41 132,140.75 1.7 0.322 2,761.49 2.0 Sec SPDR Fund 5,000 Williams-Sonoma Inc. 7.83 39,160.00 7.86 39,300.00 0.5 0.480 2,400.00 6.1 -i 5,440 eBay Inc. 13.62 74,070.87 13.96 75,942.40 1.0 0.000 0.00 0.0 3,612,304.15 3,215,322.10 40.9 82,657.33 2.3 Preferred Debt Securities 20,000 AT&T Preferred 24.84 496,844.84 24.94 498,800.00 6.3 1.594 31,875.00 6.4 6.375% A2/A (C 2-12-12) 3,655 G.E. Preferred 6.10% 24.91 91,063.23 22.37 81,761.98 1.0 1.525 5,573.88 6.1 AAA/AAA (C 11-15-07) 587,908.07 580,561.98 7.4 37,448.88 6.4 Mutual Funds-Equity 1,500.0000 Thai Fund Inc. 9.63 14,451.75 5.81 8,715.00 0.1 0.549 823.20 5.7 `i 450.0000 iPath MSCI India Index 47.75 21,486.44 31.64 14,238.00 0.2 0.000 0.00 0.0 - ETN 650.0000 iShares FTSE China 28.35 18,425.55 29.09 18,908.50 0.2 0.416 270.43 1.5 Index Fund 1 LONGER INVESTMENTS INCORPORATED A Registered Investment Advisor Longer Investments Inc. PORTFOLIO APPRAISAL City of Fayetteville Police Pension Fund December 31, 2008 Unit Total Market Pct. Unit Annual Cur. Quantity Security Cost Cost Price Value Assets Income Income Yield 450.0000 iShares MSCI Brazil 61.92 27,864.86 34.99 15,745.50 0.2 2.641 1,188.55 4.3 Index Fund 835.0000 iShares MSCI EAFE 70.47 58,843.20 44.86 37,458.10 0.5 1.082 903.66 1.5 Index Fund 500.0000 iShares MSCI Emerging 27.03 13,514.50 24.97 12,485.00 0.2 0.681 340.42 2.5 Markets Index Fund 775.0000 iShares MSCI Hong 22.71 17,600.25 10.37 8,036.75 0.1 0.735 569.59 3.2 Kong Index Fund 23,000.0000 iShares MSCI Japan 11.17 256,926.25 9.58 220,340.00 2.8 0.150 3,445.95 1.3 Index Fund 2,300.0000 iShares MSCI Singapore 7.53 17,316.70 7.05 16,215.00 0.2 0.577 1,326.01 7.7 Index Fund 540.0000 iShares MSCI South 42.48 22,941.26 27.97 15,103.80 0.2 0.378 204.27 0.9 Korea Index Fund 1,000.0000 iShares MSCI Taiwan 12.54 12,535.70 7.59 7,590.00 0.1 1.203 1,203.30 9.6 Index Fund 3,500.0000 iShares S&P Europe 41.27 144,447.94 31.14 108,990.00 1.4 0.745 2,608.07 1.8 350 Index 626,354.40 483,825.65 6.1 12,883.47 2.0 Mutual Funds-Fixed 3,000.0000 iShares iBoxx 93.65 280,946.18 101.65 304,950.00 3.9 5.460 16,380.60 5.8 Investment Grade Corp Bond 280,946.18 304,950.00 3.9 16,380.60 5.8 Corporate Bonds 100,000 McDonald's Corp ANA 98.45 98,450.00 105.30 105,299.70 1.3 6.000 6,000.00 6.1 (NC) 6.21% YTM 6.000% Due 04-15-11 Accrued Interest 1,266.67 0.0 j 98,450.00 106,566.37 1.4 6,000.00 6.1 Government Bonds 150,000 U. S. Treasury Note 100.00 150,000.00 121.09 181,640.63 2.3 5.125 7,687.50 5.1 5.125% Due 05-15-16 Accrued Interest 976.86 0.0 150,000.00 182,617.49 2.3 7,687.50 5.1 Government Agency 100,000 Federal Farm Credit 100.50 100,500.00 100.56 100,562.50 1.3 5.400 5,400.00 5.4 Bank (NC) 5.31% YTM 5.400% Due 02-11-09 50,000 Federal Home Loan 99.88 49,937.50 100.56 50,281.25 0.6 5.250 2,625.00 5.3 Bank (NC) 5.250% Due 02-13-09 100,000 Federal Farm Credit 100.00 100,000.00 103.25 103,250.00 1.3 6.750 6,750.00 6.8 Bank (NC) 6.750% Due 07-07-09 2 LONGER INVESTMENTS INCORPORATED A Registered Investment Advisor Longer Investments Inc. PORTFOLIO APPRAISAL City of Fayetteville Police Pension Fund December 31, 2008 Unit Total Market Pct. Unit Annual Cur. Quantity Security Cost Cost Price Value Assets Income Income Yield 320,000 Federal Home Loan 100.00 320,000.00 100.47 321,500.00 4.1 5.250 16,800.00 5.3 Bank (Call 2-9-09 @ 100, IX) 5.250% Due 02-09-11 65,000 Federal Home Loan 100.00 65,000.00 101.19 65,771.88 0.8 5.020 3,263.00 5.0 Bank (Call 4-13-09 @ 100, IX) 5.020% Due 04-13-11 50,000 Federal Home Loan 100.00 50,000.00 111.09 55,546.88 0.7 6.000 3,000.00 6.0 Bank (NC) 6.000% Due 05-13-11 100,000 Federal Farm Credit 100.00 100,000.00 101.63 101,625.00 1.3 3.750 3,750.00 3.8 Bank (Call 7-28-09 @ 100, IX) 3.750% Due 07-28-11 100,000 Federal Farm Credit 100.00 100,000.00 101.91 101,906.25 1.3 3.750 3,750.00 3.8 Bank (Call 9-29-09 @ 100, CC) 3.750% Due 09-29-11 100,000 Federal Farm Credit 100.00 100,000.00 103.19 103,187.50 1.3 5.080 5,080.00 5.1 Bank (Call 10-13-09 @ 100, CC) 5.080% Due 10-13-11 200,000 Federal Farm Credit 100.00 200,000.00 100.00 200,000.00 2.5 3.375 6,750.00 3.4 Bank (Call 11-18-09 @ 100, 1X) 3.375% Due 11-18-11 100,000 Federal Home Loan 100.00 100,000.00 105.63 105,625.00 1.3 5.000 5,000.00 5.0 Bank (Call 10-1-10 @ 100, IX) 5.000% Due 10-01-12 200,000 Federal Farm Credit 99.97 199,938.00 120.78 241,562.50 3.1 6.125 12,250.00 6.1 Bank (NC) 6.127% YTM 6.125% Due 12-29-15 300,000 Federal Home Loan 100.00 300,000.00 101.33 303,995.40 3.9 6.000 18,000.00 6.0 Mortgage Corp. (Call 4-28-09 @ 100, quarterly) 6.000% Due 04-28-16 275,000 Federal Faun Credit 100.00 275,000.00 105.06 288,921.88 3.7 6.140 16,885.00 6.1 Bank (Call 7-13-10 @ 100, CC) 6.140% Due 07-13-17 200,000 Federal Home Loan 100.00 200,000.00 100.22 200,437.50 2.5 5.000 10,000.00 5.0 Bank (Call 2-13-09 @ 100, CC) 5.000% Due 02-13-18 Accrued Interest 34,711.21 0.4 2,260,375.50 2,378,884.73 30.2 119,303.00 5.3 3 L® LONGER INVESTMENTS INCORPORATED A Registered Investment Advisor