HomeMy WebLinkAbout1994-10-27 MinutesMINUTES OF A MEETING OF TEE FIRE PENSION BOARD
A meeting of the Fayetteville Firemen's Pension and Relief Board
was held on Thursday, October 27, 1994, at 11:00 a.m.s_=in Room 111
of the City Administration Building, 113 W. MountitnAE 'etteville,
Arkansas.
PRESENT: Marion Doss, Pete Reagan, Ron Wood, Retirees Darrell Judy
and Howard Boudrey, Mayor Fred Hanna, City Clerk Traci
Paul, and Treasurer Glyndon Bunton.
CALL TO ORDER
Marion Doss called the meeting to order.
MINUTES
Reagan, seconded by
the September 29,
unanimously
PENSION LIST
Doss, made a motion to approve the minutes of
1994, meeting. The motion was approved
Paul stated the only change in the Pension List was the correction
on the spelling of "Fraley."
Reagan, seconded by Doss, made a motion to approve the pension list
for November, 1994. The motion was approved unanimously.
NEW BUSINESS
STATE INSURANCE TURNBACK - 1994
Reagan stated the City received a State Insurance Turnback check
for $123,948.06 and asked if anyone remembered the amount from the
previous year.
The Board came to the conclusion that the amount for the previous
year was $123,120.00.
INVESTMENT REPORT
Curtis Williams, Merrill Lynch, distributed a summary of the
portfolio performance as of September 30, 1994.
He stated New Mexico Capital is up 2.27% through September 30. The
S&P is up 1.34% and the Dow is up a little more than that.
Industrial stocks should do better in a growing economy. New
Mexico has managed to out -perform the S&P. The income account is
down 2.92% for the year. Because long bonds are down 9.49% and the
high grade corporate bonds are down 6.67%, fixed income is the only
way money has been made this period. Treasury Bills made 2.83%.
aD
•
•
•
October 27, 1994
This is the worst bond market is U.S. history. There will probably
be a negative return in bonds for the year. It will be the first
time in twelve years that we would finish the year with a negative
return. A negative return means the income received from a bond is
less than the price depreciation of the bonds due to rising rates.
Factoring in the loss of the value of the bonds versus the income,
there is a negative rate of return for the year. There is a strong
possibility that it will happen this year and next. Rates are
going to continue to rise.
Mayor Hanna arrived.
There is a very high probability that we will see another point
added after November. The Federal Discount rate will probably go
up to 6.5% to 6.75% by mid 1995. There may be an inverted yield
curve in 1995 or 1996. The activity in the portfolio for this year
shows a short in maturities and holding cash. Our mandate has
always been to manage this in the most conservative way possible.
We started lightening up early this year and we intend to continue
to lighten up. We will continue to trim back on the long
maturities that will be most impacted by higher rates. We will be
in three and six month CD's until we see the yield curve flatten or
invert. An inverted yield curve is when short rates actually go
higher than long rates. We are going to keep the portfolio very
liquid. When the yield curve inverts; you go out to about ten
years; lock in very high quality, fixed income securities; buy them
at a discount; and get call protection.
The Term Trusts would be the only thing we would consider buying in
any great amount.
We have a dollar that is in free fall. With interest rates going
up and the dollar declining, there is only one way the stock market
can go. We are looking for a significant correction in the market
in the future as there has been in many stocks. It is going to be
difficult to make money in stocks for six to nine months.
On the Fixed Income side, we will just roll CD's. What New Mexico
does is out of our hands. It will be a difficult environment for
both fixed income and equities for the next six to twelve months.
Right now, cash looks good. Combining the two accounts with the
equity account being up, you are positive for the year.
In answer to a question from Reagan, Williams stated it's hard to
tell when we will come out of this. It depends partly on the
Federal Government and politics. There could be a tax cut bidding
war between the Republicans and Democrats as a result of the
November election. There are many negatives facing the economy.
r
•
•
•
October 27, 1994
NOVEMBER MEETING
Paul stated the next regularly scheduled meeting would fall on
Thanksgiving and asked if the Board had an alternative meeting date
in mind.
Reagan suggested the meeting be held on Thursday, December 1, 1994.
ADJOURNMENT
The meeting adjourned at 11:30 a.m.