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HomeMy WebLinkAbout1991-12-19 - Agendas - Final• • • FIRE PENSION AGENDA ITEMS FOR 12-19-91 ROXBURY ) CAPITAL MANAGEMENT October 18, 1991 Chief Mickey Jackson Fayetteville Fire Department 303 West Center Fayetteville, Arkansas 72701 frY Re: Fayetteville Fireman's Pension & Relief Fund Dear Chief Jackson: Enclosed is a copy of our Third Quarter Client Letter, along with an explanation on "how to read" the time weighted performance rate of return analysis. • Your performance analysis was sent to you under separate cover along with your quarterly appraisal. Sincerely, ROXBURY CAPITAL MANAGEMENT • • • ROXBURY CAPITAL MANAGEMENT TIME WEIGHTED PERFORMANCE RATE OF RETURN ANALYSIS Several of our clients have asked for clarification and assistance on how to read and interpret the Time Weighted Performance Rate of Return Analysis sheet we include with client reports. We are pleased to provide you with the following explanation of this report which will hopefully assist you in better understanding the performance of your portfolio. WHAT DOES "TIME WEIGHTED" PERFORMANCE REALLY MEAN? The money management industry generally uses time weighted returns as its standard for performance evaluation. Time weighted returns are calculated to eliminate the impact of cash additions and/or withdrawals from an account, and therefore are considered a more "pure" measurement of performance. !For example, if a client doubles the dollar amount invested in a portfolio at the beginning of a quarter in which the portfolio increases in value by 20%, the money manager only gets credit for the percentage increase in value in measuring performance over time, not credit for having in- creased the dollar amount. WHERE DO I FIND THE TIME WEIGHTED RETURNS FOR MY SPECIFIC PORTFOLIO? In the top half of each Time Weighted Performance Rate of Return Analysis sheet there is a section called "With Income". This section has the performance data for your portfolio. "With Income" means that your performance data includes any interest and dividends paid to your account during a given period. Each performance sheet will show performance for the Total Account, and specifically for the Cash and Equiva- lents (money market funds, etc.) portion of the total portfolio. It will also show detail specifically for either the Fixed Income (bonds) portion of the portfolio, the Equity (stocks) portion of the portfolio, or both depending on the mix of a portfolio. This will help show how each portion of the portfolio affected the performance of the total portfolio, and allow comparison to certain indices which we will discuss below. HOW DO I READ ALL THE NUMBERS ACROSS THE PAGE9 The numbers or data going across the page are merely time weighted performance data categorized by periods of time. (Our explanation for these periods of time is based on calendar years. For those of you with fiscal year ends other than December 31, please adjust this explanation according- ly). Although only the month and year are shown for the beginning and end of each period (not the day), the day is the end of that given period -i.e., 12-90 means 12-31-90. Moving from left to right across the page, the first section of data is quarterly data. The intent of this section is to show you how your portfolio has performed quarterly for approximately the past year. For those of you that have been with us for at least a year, this section will have four columns. The first column on the left will show data from the last quarter end (March 31, June 30, September 30, or December 31) through the most recent month end. If the most recent month end was the quarter end, then this column will show data for this completed quarter. Moving further to the right, the next section of data is yearly or annual data. The intent of this section is to show you how your portfolio has performed on an annual basis for approximately the past four years, therefore this section has four columns. The first column on the left shows the current year-to-date data from the beginning of the year through the most recent month end. The final column on the right shows performance data since a given point in time shown in the upper right hand corner of the page. The intent of. this column is to show performance data over an extended period of time, usually several years. WIIAT ARE THF INDICES USED FOR THAT ARE ON THE BOTTOM HALF OF THE SHEET' The indices are benchmarks that can be used to compare and help assess the performance of your total portfolio and each of its components (fixed income, equities, etc.). HOW SHOULD I USE THESE INDICES IN MAKING COMPARISONS AND ASSESSMENTS? Consumer Price Index The Consumer Price Index ("CPI") is a measure of infla- tion. Inflation is every investor's real enemy over time in the sense that investment returns need to exceed rates of inflation in order to increase real net worth. Therefore, a long-term goal of most portfolios should be to achieve investment returns that exceed inflation. Shearson Lehman Government Corporate Bond Index The Shearson Lehman Government Corporate Bond Index ("SLGC") is the most popular index used today for measur- ing fixed income performance. Its composition is represen- tative of the relative distribution of fixed income securities in the market, exclusive of the mortgage market. Because of the significant amount of government debt in the marketplace today, U S government and agency debt represents the majority of the index with the balance in corporate debt. Therefore, in comparing this index to actual fixed income portfolio results, one needs to keep in perspective the actual fixed income composition of the portfolio, i.e., does the portfolio consist of treasury and agency bonds, investment grade corporate bonds, high yield (junk) bonds, or a combination of the above. Dow Jones Industrial Average With Income The Dow Jones Industrial Average With Income ("DJIA") is probably the least relevant of the indices we use for comparing equity performance. We include it because it is the most commonly referred to index when people are talking about "the market". It only includes 30 Targe "blue chip corporations which is not most money managers universe. Most money managers, regardless of their universe of stocks, are compared with the Standard & Poors 500 With Income index. Standard & Poors 500 With Income The Standard & Poors 500 With Income index ("S&P 500") is the most commonly used benchmark for comparing the equity performance of money managers. It includes stocks of 400 of the largest industrial companies, 20 of the largest transportation companies, 40 of the largest utilities, and 40 of the largest financial companies in the country. Although the S&P 500 is the most commonly used index for compar- ing equity performance, similar to the DJIA, it is not a particularly broad-based index as it represents only ten percent of the total number of New York Stock Exchange, • American Stock Exchange and actively traded OTC stocks, and only the largest of these companies. A much more broad-based index, and perhaps more indicative of the overall market, is the Value Line index. Value Line The Value Line index is an equally -weighted index of the stocks of about 1,700 companies. Therefore, it is more broad-based and more indicative of the overall market including many small -medium capitalization stocks. It is arguably a better index in which to compare Roxbury's equity performance as it includes most if not all of our Category II stocks. • • ROXBURY CAPITAL MANAGEMENT October 15, 1991 THIRD QUARTER 1991 CLIENT LE ITER Anthony H. Browne, Harry B. Wilson Kevin P. Riley, James E. Moore Enclosed is your third quarter 1991 port- folio performance report. Roxbury port- folios have done very well dunng 1991, and particularly for the 12 month period ended September 30, 1991. Our clients frequently express bewilder- ment at our industry's portfolio perfor- mance reporting standards. At the risk of adding to this confusion, we have written and enclosed an explanation of the terms and process of performance measurement which we hope will be helpful to you. In addition, we typically highlight for you the key performance data in the report. Please call us if you have any questions. The Investment Outlook: Our comments and philosophies. What a difference a year makes. At the end of the third quarter 1990, predictions of doom were plentiful. Iraq's occupa- tion of Kuwait threatened the balance of power in the Persian Gulf and sent oil prices and interest rates soaring in a weakening economy. The third quarter of 1990 was the fourth worst stock mar- ket quarter since 1929. A much quoted market strategist from a leading broker- age firm wrote. "There is more m this bear market. The market may fall an- other 15%." A year later the stock and bond markets have rebounded sharply. The stock mar- ket averages are up over 30% since the third quarter of 1990. Roxbury has also done well during this period and outper- formed the Standard and Poor's 500 and Dow Jones Industrial Average. The lesson? A short-term view of the stock market is the most serious impedi- ment to long-term success. As Peter Lynch said upon retiring as manager of the Magellan Fund (one of the most successful mutual funds of all time): "My single -most important piece of in- vestment advice is to ignore the short- term fluctuations of the market. From one year to the next, the stock market is a coin flip. It can go up or down. The real money in stocks is made in the third fourth and fifth year of your investments, because you are participating in a com- pany's earnings which grow over time." Warren Buffett, the billionaire, supports this view, "I do not have, never have had, and never will have an opinion where the stock market will be a year from now." The legendary investor Sir John Templeton said it best: "Ignore fluctuations Do not try to out -guess the stock market. Buy a quality portfolio and invest for the long-term " Despite this wisdom we confess to hav- ing held roughly a 15%-20% level of 1800 Avenue of the Stars Suite 1100 Los Angeles, California 90067 213/282.0820 FAX 2131785.0651 • Third Quarter 1991 Page 2 • Client Letter • • cash at this time last year. Though this was far less than the 50% recommended by many market strategists, we, too, were influenced by the uncertain prospect of a potentially prolonged conflict in the Middle East. The issues concerning most investors at this point are the economy, interest rates, and the perceived overvaluation of the stock market. Interest rates have fallen in the past year and could be headed lower, as evidence of a strong economic rebound remains illusive. We think that intermediate maturities (4-10 years) offer the best nsk/reward ratio in relation to their yield and the current shape of the yield curve. Federal Reserve policy, we think, will continue to favor lower interest rates at least until the 1992 election. In light of the murky economic outlook our focus is to search for and invest in truly wonderful businesses that can with- stand economic uncertainties. However, we have to be able to invest at the right price Some companies which have done well in spite of the recession are being richly valued. For example, we have been studying Home Depot for two years, and when we saw superior results continue despite the recession we pur- chased Home Depot stock in our all equity portfolios at what we felt was a reasonable price early in the summer. Three months later Home Depot was up 40%. Home Depot is an excellent com- pany with outstanding management but we sold the stock as its valuations be- came excessive. It is always difficult to sell high quality companies but our valu- ation disciplines tell us to sell if the mar- gin of safety is eroded by an excessively high stock price. Our higher than nor mal cash levels now reflect a lack of investment ideas at reasonable prices. The valuation of the current stock mar- ket is being discussed in the media at length Given the spectacular gain m such sectors as biotechnology we share this concern Many point to consumer stocks in areas such as food, beverage and pharmaceuticals as being "expensive" and "over popular" with investors and hence risky versus companies more ex- posed to the economic cycle such as autos, metals or machinery. We are well aware of these arguments since we are concentrated in consumer sectors and have avoided cyclical companies. Don't be mislead by the press discussion about price earnings multiple (p/e) ra- tios. Critics of consumer stocks argue that the p/e of these stocks are at a 20x or more earnings versus the Standard and Poor's 500 multiple of 19x earnings. However, this refers to last years earn- ings (1990) Given the predictable, steady growth of the consumer stocks, 1992 earnings multiples are more rele- vant. Based on 1992, consumer stocks p/e's are more than reasonable com- pared to the Standard and Poor's 500, especially if the economy remains weak and companies with cyclical earnings produce lower than expected results. Investors are sometimes misled by the illusion of reported "accounting" earnings versus real economic "cash earnings". By • Third Quarter 1991 Page 3 Client Letter this we mean the amount of excess cash a company generates over and above its capital expenditures. Example: A phar- maceutical (or food/beverage) company reports $1 15 in earnings and sells for $20.00 per share for a p/e of 17x. The stock of a machinery manufacturer (or auto, chemical, steel) sells at $20.00 per share and earns $1.50 per share for a p/e of 13x. The real capital expenditure for a pharmaceutical (or food/beverage) company is research and development (or advertising and promotion for food/beverage ). These items are ex- pensed and reduce reported earnings in the year incurred. However, capital expenditures for machinery companies such as maintenance and construction of its plants are amortized over a multi-year period. Both expenditures require cash but the pharmaceutical (and food/beverage) company is penalized entirely in one year and the machinery company is not. If the pharmaceutical (or food/beverage) company were al- lowed to amortize these expenses, its reported earnings might be higher than the machinery company. Of course, what makes so many pharma- ceutical, food, and beverage stocks com- pelling is that they predictably will have higher earnings year after year regardless of the economic environment. A cyclical company may show losses, or almost no earnings (and show an infinitely high p/e multiple). Consumers may not be able to afford a new auto or new home but they can afford and will buy necessary medications, packaged foods, cigarettes, and soft drinks. These are also the pro- ducts that the rest of the world is eager to buy and why international prospects for these businesses are bright. The last, and most ironic argument is that consumer stocks are overpopular. This view has been expressed by many major Wall Street brokerage firms over the last five years. In fact consumer stocks have been the most under -repre- sented stocks in institutional portfolios for some time according to INDATA. The consensus, in this case, continues to be wrong and we are pleased to be con- centrated in areas where most investors are underweighted. In last quarter's letter we informed you that Mary Ann Canter, head trader at Roxbury Capital had retired. We are pleased to announce to you that Diane Maiden has joined us as Assistant Port- folio Manager/Trader and will be assum- ing some of Mary Ann's responsibilities. Diane is experienced and exceptionally well qualified after ten years as a trader and assistant to portfolio managers at Trust Company of the West, a major Los Angeles investment company.. • • TEL: R? Dec 19,91 7:48 No.001 P.O1 FAYETTEVILLE.FIRE DEPT PENSION AND RELIEF FUND PORTFOLIO PERFORMANCE 12/31/90 TO 11/30/91 NM CAPITAL MANAGEMENT ROXBURY 12/31/90 $2,107,956 566,115 INCOME ACCT $2,565,153 deposit 10/01/91 109,000 deposit 11/15/91 __a24,000 2,704,153 DOW JONES IND AVG W/Div Reinvested S & P 500 W/Div Reinvested LONG TERM TREASURY BONDS HIGH GRADE CORP BONDS CPI (Sept) NM CAPITAL ROXBURY INCOME ACCT (time weighted) deposits: $139,000 withdrawals; 156,000 INVESTMENT• INCOME PORTFOLIO (NM) 12/06/85 4/23/87 EQUITY PORTFOLIO (ROXBURY) 06/20/86 10/01/86 WITHDRAWALS: JANUARY $20,000 FEBRUARY20,000 MARCH 20,000 APRIL 10,000 MAY 5,000 JUNE 17,000 JULY 2,000 AUGUST 17,000 SEPTEMBER20,000 OCTOBER 5,000 11/30/91 $2,373,748 684,464 $2,802,308 11/30/91 +13.26 +17.07 + 11.57 + 14.28 + 2.69 + 12.61 +20.91 + 10.76 s1,000,000.00 1,647,585.00 $ 312, 657.00 195000.00 507, 657. 00 t, • • • MERRILL LYNCH 425 W. CAPITOL, #200 LITTLE ROCK, AR 72701 ATTN: RICHARD YADA FAYEPR107 CITY OF FAYETTEVILLE FIRE PENSION & RELIEF FUND 1" • f ' 47 t.. DECEMBER 31, 1991 OCTOBER 1, 1991 - DECEMBER 31, 1991 $ 2,524,732.45 - $14,917.56 (accruals) = $2,509,814.89 TOTAL 0.550% -BALANCE COMPUTED FEE: ACCT NO 563 96346 6 3,451.00 $ 3,451.00 $ 3,451.00 *** DUE UPON RECEIPT *** • NM CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, INC 7510 Montgomery Blvd., NE #201 Albuquerque, NM 87109-15 TeL (505) 888-9500 1 1 1 1 1 1 1• 1 1 1 1 1 1 1• 1 1 QUARTERLY REPORT December 31, 1991 CITY OF FAYETTEVILLE FIRE PENSION AND RELIEF FUND 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 *' 1 1 1 1 1 1 •, 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 IS 1 1 1 1 1 1• 1 NM Capital Management, Inc. Quarterly Investment Comment Year End 1991 t .' w.l aawont's? As we begin 1992, there are many stand -out topics impacting the financial markets. We highlight a few important issues as follows: The Economy - The recovery has been disappointingly slow. Current Fed stimulus through low short teen interest rates and increased money growth plus some positive tax changes should reignite economic growth this year. Interest Rates - The Fed may be signalling an end to its rate reduction process, by dropping the discount rate a full percentage point from 4 1/2 to 3 1/2% - the lowest level since 1963. Longer term interest rates may still decline further based upon lower inflation expectations. Look for increased loan demand in 1992 as households and businesses finance purchases and investments at these lower rates. Relative Valuations - The flight from low yielding money market funds and CDs is fueling the recent surge in the stock and bond markets. With short term interest rates at current lows, investors in search of higher returns are lengthening their time horizons and are willing to add to common stocks despite historically high stock market levels. This positive trend in market liquidity Ls likely to continue in the months ahead and should provide underlying support for both the bond and stock markets. The 1992 Residential Elections - Along with the need for President Bush to spur the domestic economy, proposals should come from both sides of Congress to provide incentives through a tax reduction package including growth incentives for labor and business, capital gains tax rate cuts and some relief for real estate investments. 1991 MARKET REVIEW The stock market during the fourth quarter was characterized by a November 5-6% correction followed by a late December 10% rally to new highs for the popular stock indices (Standard & Poors 500 and Dow Jones Industrial Average). The 1991 annual return for the S&P 500 was 30.4% and for the Dow 24.2% (including dividends). It is interesting to note that, of the 30.4% return on the S&P 500 for the year, 24% was achieved in just three months - January, February and December. Pessimism about the faltering economic recovery contributed to the sharp correction in the stock market in November. However, further declines m interest rates triggered the dramatic upward move in the market during the last two weeks of the year. For the fourth quarter, the S&P 500 returned 8.4%. The Dow Jones Average, which is comprised solely of large companies, returned 5.8%. Economic weakness during the fourth quarter contributed to a continued sharp reduction in interest rates which began in mid-July 1991. Government and corporate bond indices, which benefit from declining rates, returned 5.4% during the quarter. Corporate/govern- ment bond index returns were also very good for the year with a return of approximately 16.2%. The majority of that 16.2% (about 11.5%) was achieved during the second half of 1991 as rates fell. 1 1 1 1 1 1 IS 1 i 1 1 1 1• 1 ECONOMYAND INVESTMENT OUTLOOK Economic data released during the fourth quarter showed deterioration in the recovery, reversing third quarter optimism. The faltering economy became increasingly evident in November with weakness in leading indicators, industrial production, employment and consumer confidence. To apply more stimulus, the Federal Reserve cont►nued to lower short term interest rates. The Fed's discount rate cut from 4 1/2% to 3 1/2% (the lowest in 28 years) on December 20 symbolized the Fed's determination to promote economic recovery. Long term interest rates also declined sharply during the fourth quarter. The yield of the benchmark 30 year Treasury bond dropped from 8.5% in mid-July to 7.45% by the end of December. Five year Treasury yields dropped from 8.0% to 5.95% over the last five and one half months. The magnitude of the bond interest rate decline has been dramatic. Whether the interest rate decline alone is sufficient to fdstart the economy is subject to question. Remember, 1992 is an election year and it is vital to President Bush that a recovery be well recognized by early Fall. Therefore, as further stimulus to recovery, it is very likely that some changes in taxes will be proposed soon. Tax changes to promote investment, growth, jobs and middle class tax relief should have a positive impact on consumer confidence. Low interest rates, rising money supply, and tax changes that favor investment are powerful stimulants to economic recovery in 1992. The rally in the stock market in December and early January reflects renewed investor optimism that economic recovery is not far off. We expect an increasing number of positive corporate earnings reports as the year progresses. While improved earnings, lower interest rates and a lower inflation rate are ingredients of a good investment environment, liquidity is a major factor in the current market rally. The numbers are staggering as we see more and more maturing CDs and money market funds reinvested in stocks and bonds. At current record levels (Dow 3209, S&P 500 417.6, January 9, 1992), the stock market appears to be discounting the projected economic recovery. However, stronger than expected earnings, lower interest rates, a capital gains tax cut or other growth oriented tax cuts could add credibility to even higher stock market valuations. EQUITY STRATEGY COMMENTARY As 1991 drew to a close, it was readily apparent that investors were continuing to value shares of companies with solid records of earnings growth at considerable premiums to the less popular shares of companies with slower or less consistent rates of earnings growth. With the S&P 400 selling at 21 times trailing -12 -month -earnings, Merck, the premier drug company at 30 tunes earnings and Coca-Cola at an effervescent 34 times earnings, the pressure on investors to give up and jump on the seemingly limitless train of higher stock prices and outperformance, produced by this consumer growth sector of the market, became almost overwhelming. The pressure became especially acute when one of our clients said, "So, why don't you buy Coke?" The current popularity of large capitalization, growth stocks is reminiscent of the 1968-1972 period, when a small group of "blue chip" stocks with high historic and projected growth rates, known as the "nifty fifty", rose to very high P/E ratios. Many investors forgot that "blue chips" were also associated with casinos and high stakes poker. By the time investors woke up to the fact that the price paid today for projected earnings growth in the future does matter, the "good at any price", "safe" growth stocks of the sixties collapsed, falling an average of 70% between the end of 1972 and September 30, 1974, almost twice the percentage loss experienced by the average, less popular stock. The great investor, Ben Graham, attempted to point out the difference between 1 1 1 1 1 1 '• 1 1 1 • 1 • investment and speculation in his classic book "Security Analysis". The speculative excesses which led to the collapse of 1972-1974 had previously been seen in 1928-1929 when "..no price could possibly be too high for a good stock': Ben pointed out that ".. a prime characteristic of speculative mania is its complete insulation from all the lessons of history, whether remote or directly at hand". He stressed the folly in paying so high a price today for a projected growth rate in the future that not only would the above-average historic growth have to be sustained, but it would actually have to be exceeded, and that future investor expectations would then have to become even more euphoric for the investor to make an acceptable return. The odds of an above-average growth rate being sustained have consistently been shown to be very low. Thus, the extrapolation of excessively high trends of growth is extremely speculative, especially when combined with well above average prices relative to the average stock. Periods of excess and speculation have occurred in the past and will occur in the future. The s]dll and knowledge of the true value investor seeks to avoid participation in such "bubbles" at all costs. A successful speculator usually makes money faster than a successful investor, but the speculator may also lose it fast. The track record of predicting when the trend of excess will end, when the bubble will burst, is extremely poor. No matter how clear the prognosis for the popular stocks or how stellar their recent performance, a diverse selection of soundly assessed values, with downside protection vested in real assets and Intrinsic economic value, provides a far more reliable and less 'risky' potential for above-average return and the creation of real investment wealth, over time. These are the kind of stocks we try to own at NM Capital and why we do not, at today's "effervescent" prices, own a single share of Coke. FIXED INCOME STRATEGY With bonds having returned 15-16% for 1991, what is likely in 1992? We do not expect the lofty returns of last year. It is unlikely bond rates will decline significantly this year as the recovery takes hold. Inflation usually remains subdued in the first year of economic recovery. Therefore, inflation at ±3% should not put upward pressure on rates. Continued accommodation by the Fed is expected until strong signs of recovery develop. With 1992 an election year, the Fed is motivated to keep rates low and assure a recovery this year. Therefore, it is likely short term interest rates for the time being will stay low and possibly move lower. This environment should be favorable for bond returns in the months ahead. However, as strength in the recovery is reported, a bottoming in short term rates could occur. Investor psychology then may conclude that rates have bottomed for this cycle and have nowhere to go but up. This change in perspective would halt any further bond rally and could cause a meaningful correction later in the year. In light of the above concerns, our fixed income strategy remains focused on intermediate US Treasury securities. We are not aggressive buyers of bonds at this time and will look to taking additional profits from bonds in the months ahead, particularly if rates continue to fall. CONCLUSION We are optimistic as we look ahead to 1992 and the next several years. The ingredients for an economic recovery are in place — low interest rates, growing money supply and liquidity, low inflation and the prospect of a pro -growth tax incentive package. With recovery should come a strong rebound in corporate earnings particularly benefiting the stocks of cyclical companies, a number of which we find to be excellent long term values. Longer term, the end of the Cold War and trend toward more democratic rule and freer trade are very encouraging developments which will aid world wide economic growth in the years ahead 1 1 1 1 1 1 1• 1- L 1 TO 12/31/91 REPORTING PERIOD: 10/01/91 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 • STATEMENT 2,402,773 0 MARKET VALUE AT 10/01/91 o- z o W W K— 0 1 J O < • O r 0 J - < • 2 P K 2 0 O O 2 I- r Z - • J � 0 O O W W O 2 W K O 2 O. O - 1 W < < < - W O J J O W < < < L - W - 0: r U 1 W - < 2 — • n n N. n O N n be 0 — 0 l7 • O ID n O • • N 0 • N P 0 V010. P 0 O - O N N 0 W L W Y 0 0 0 > 2 - w O O 2 W W O O W L S 0: X L 0 - 0 < ci ✓ u v < 2,524,732 N 12/31/91 MARKET VALUE AT 2,524,732 0 J r O r S INCE INCEPTION 0 r L 0 I- ID 2 I- O J 0 I- S 0 W 2 I- O < L J 0 ▪ • < n z 2 — < J L U • 0 0 • P • • 0 M • - • • P 0 • N n TOTAL FUND be • • O n 01 < 0 z - O 2 be be be O n 0 < n • N • N N be be be be O CO P n 0 P 0 - N be be • be O 0 P ID 0 P 0 - N O be • be N 0 0 ▪ 0 n 0 0 W 2 3- 4-k - rL - CO O 0 LIWIDE P • n 0 0 n N N P 0 • Co 01 n N N n 0 0 N N N .- n — 0 • n 0 • 0 P N n 0 - - n - 0 • n 0 ▪ 0 P N n 0 — P 0 CO 0 N e n V o 4- SSP 500 W/INC S LEHMAN GOV/CRP BOND X J 0 W W O - L z 0 0: - W 0 I- W < 2 U W CC I- 11. 1 • O 2 0 O W N. O 2 f 0 0 2 CO 0 L L J 0 1 O 7 0 1. - 0 O W O - 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 GSECN ONFBE 1 Y 0 W I- £ < 0 00 •-•0 Z O Z h O O m N P m P P O N N N C) N If) N N. 0 0 0 - O O N P m N O m- m 0 O 10 O O N m m 0 0 0 n C) (7/ N- If) O N m CO P m C. •O `- m ••- Y) - n n - P O n - O - n O I- 0 O C I O K d 1 I o W J CURRENT ✓ m O O J ✓ O r INVESTMENT SUMMARY P O P to n C) P CO C! P m n m m N n N m n- - n n CO n O m P n O O CO m• N m CO m 0 O O m N - O CO ID m N- • O N P CO N- m 0 O m— O• —— N • -i ;n el . v .o .. vo o CO o O m 0 P 0 n (0 P 0 C) P m n 0 N n- m -- m— —— m CO• m O m m N O- O n m N P m O m 0• m m n N- 0 0 0 N N P 0 0• N CO O m m O 0• m n . . . . . . . . . . . . eh in n m 0 0 0 P O n• O N- e O - N P - n O N O m N 0 N- N n- W -- m- -- N CASH EQUIVALENTS FIXED INCOME SECURITIES W W L W O J (0 0 O O Z < CO 0 Z - K W O m W O 0 D J J W- O 0 0 0 CO < Z - r W O X Z O W 0 K- ) J I- O- 0 D r 0 r r J 0 < LL Z 0 < 0< - W - E - O 7 r J I- 0 fC J K MC 0 O K< J J W W< W W W J Z O- < E r r m£££< T- d 00I - CC O O W Z - 7 7 CC r O O Z- O W O r -• O W- It U Z< J r I- Z r r d W m< Z CO Z O 9-900Z < Z- CC - i - J 7 0 0- O W L r LL d O W K • m I m • • P P • W • 0 d CO O 0 N P ID - m 0 0 m n m O O m • an m N N O - n N 2,266,080 TOTAL INVESTMENTS ACCRUED INTEREST ACCRUED DIVIDENDS ID ID O N K O 0 O 2,524,732 2,266,080 TOTAL VALUE 12/31/91 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 GSECW DNFBE 1 • INDICATED W L 0 u z ID n n P - 0 NI r. n 1. m o n N. 0 0 0 0 0 n n n N. 0 in in 1. n N W N n - m O 0 0 o 01 01 1. It. 1- I d) N ID n n n O D: 1 O 1 m P P n P P P K D- 1 MARKET --- ▪ --CURRENT - PURCHASE INFORMATION - TOTAL VALUE 0 O U O c CASH EQUIVALENTS Olt ID n ID n m n 0 0 n 0 m P 0 CO m n I. ID n m m N 0 N n O O 0 P 0 N I- I- N 4- 0 O if ID O O ID P ▪ ▪ DI 1. ID m o 0 O 0 - 0 m N n N P P V ID 0 N Of P P N V 0 4. 0 n 0 I- 10 0) 0 0 01 01 Of O 01 0 N O1 0) 0f N - N O O n V P P N O O - 0 0 N 01 O O n 0) 0) n O O n 0 n FIXED INCOME SECURITIES INTERMEDIATE BONDS 100,000 UNITED V/ 1. CD n n N. r N. n z n z n P < n < O W O O ✓ r L 09/10/97 O n 0 0 P W O J n CO r n r n c • c ... z n n 220,000 UNITED 100,000 FEDERAL m Of n 0 Of N. r \ o z n P • < •- O W K r O n n W n ▪ c`0 n r n n 0 W 2 0 0 0 0 0 m N W 0 o < o D. m Io 0) n O n TOTAL INTERMEDIATES MGMT, INC. 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 GSECW ONFBE 1 INDICATED W t 0 U z IL I- OC 0 K d ▪ --CURRENT MARKET --- - PURCHASE INFORMATION TOTAL VALUE TOTAL COST AVG COST LONG TERM BONDS 0 m m 0 0 0 CO 01 n to m m n 4- O CO 0 \ 444 W 4- X ✓ m 0 W O r n A LO 0 Z i 0 0 0 •0 ID TOTAL FIXED INCOME EOUI TI ES CONSUMER NONDURABLES 0 0 ID 0 4- n OD 0 m .- O ID CO c 4- m N N 4- m 0 0 0- 0 0 A N 10 O n n Iona N 0 0 - 0 0 n 0 t n n 4- A n n OD O P n P O CI Q n 0 O U O 1- -I 0 J t < < 0 0 < U W L 0 0 0 0 P O D+ O 0 n n co n n n TOTAL CONSUMER NON -DURABLES CONSUMER DURABLES 1- n 4- m n n N N f 10 0 0 OCION 10 0 0 n n 0 n 0 N n A 10 O 4- Of m 0 • 4 - 10 n n n n on A n n m m N P No tl N t N A 01 N 01 O ID .- 4- 01 i A N Y N U Z O. CO4-4 0 0 U d 0 z W o O J U J Z > > K W < t n 0 0 0 n A • N 1,800 TANDY 1,200 WHIRLPOOL CORP m n W 0 o < O d 0 n n 0 O m 01 TOTAL CONSUMER DURABLES MGMT, INC. • 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 GSECW ONFBE 1 INDICATED W E 0 U 2 LL F I O 2 I O I K d 1 I W D I J W > K • J E < E 0 2 F- 2 2 W Ctl D W U U I K I d -PURCHASE INFORMATION - F CO 0 U J 0 F 1- 0 0 0 O > INTERMEDIATES n P N N O 0 O N OD N • N m 0 m o - P N m N N N n C1 N • N ID ID 0 0- P P N O P 0 0 N- n- N W Cl 0 0 0 0 0 m 0 0 10 0 O N Cl m 0 01 N n O N 01 N N P ID N m O P N m N 01 O n o n o n N o n IIINIONONO ON - n n m m 0 P m P O C. • m n N m C/ m P N P N C/ C1 Cl P P 0 N n n 0 n n n n n m C. m O N N N N m m o. 01 m n m m P P P m 10 N- n Y1 N N n N n N n m - N C1 m n N P n O m m- m N n n ID f` N — n 01 m — C/ P P t'! P N Cl 0 P N to 0 C! O N m O N N P N O 0 0 N P n N - - m 01 01 - N m n n 0 O N P O N n n o • m 01 O n N Cf b P N n n O - N N O N ID C. NN WO P 0 ^ n I. m n P ID O OONV P P n N P n O N N m n - n n t` m N 0 m N n - C/ - 0 ti. - 0- P m- C1 . . . . . . . . C1 C1 m N N ID N n m m n - N n m m- - P n O n N- P N N t` N G. IC W E O cc0 u o U 2 Z < • ILL < J < < 0 0 O 0 n P N TOTAL INTERMEDIATES CAPITAL G00DS U Z n W U 0 • 2 O 2 O O 1- < < < Z D < < BOEING CO CATERPILLAR INC DEL E BUSINESS J W 0 U 2 J < U m d Z Z O 2 0 - 2 0 - F < Z • O F > K 0: - O W O 2 Z 1- F - Z o 2 le F. E F I- 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1. P O m P n n N Cl - TECHNOLOGIES CORP 900 UNITED m 0 0 0 O TOTAL CAPITAL W K W 2 Z t- 21 W O 2 m F U - W < < 0 LL O O Z J Z 0 U W - O F a J Y x 0 O F W < CO Y < 2 m m < W 0 0 0 0 o 0 0 O Z K m 0 0 0 0 a 0 0 0 0 O 0 n n N K . . W 2 W m n m TOTAL ENERGY U 2 F E 0 Z J F 0- 2 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 GSECW ONFBE IU 1 • 1 INDICATED 0 O U Z d D- O K 0 K d - --CURRENT MARKET --- - PURCHASE INFORMATION - TOTAL VALUE rm O U 0 INDUSTRIALS 0 0 L P • In 0 50 DEUTSCHE BANK A G P m co P N 0 0 n O ID COM TOTAL MISC INDUSTRIALS TRANSPORTATION 0) O 0 o 01 O m P )N P 01 m P o C) O O O O O m O N N N P CO N N O N N o no l9 o no. - O CO m O O) 01 V) 4- 0) m N P n O N O P N O n 0 to P 0) 0) 01 N P m N O )N 01 O n 0) O N m n n n P 1 P P m C! CONON 1,100 BRITISH AWYS PLC TOTAL TRANSPORTATION FINANCIAL Z d U) m O < U O Y r t 0 L d t it K Z 0 IA- u J O < m K r • W m O K W W O 4 4 J 700 ST PAUL COS INC P p N P W 0 N N TOTAL FINANCIAL 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 GSECW ONFBE I•) 1• 1 I 14 N n n N 0 ID v 17 n 0 0 Al 4 - ID ID - DI - O N N N N N - m W I- 0 m O P n O C 1 K 0. i - --CURRENT MARKET --- - PURCHASE INFORMATION - TOTAL VALUE r m 0 U - J < 0 O 1- PUBLIC UTILITIES 0 O 0 0 n - 0 0 N o P n N O N CO 0 n N O O N O n n P P n N N P O P n P ID N ID - O P O - 0 O N P N n < O < U d U n 2 O W 1- J W 0 O O O - < 0 < U U J - O m - 0 OF C IOi n O O W • 2 U J O 0 - W S J 2 ,- O 0 0 0 O 0 0 0 0 O CO 0 n n O ID 0 TOTAL PUBLIC UTILITIES N N O 1,360,220 TOTAL EQUITIES m ID W CO CO < n d m O N n m o m P) — n I'! O N N o — n N 2,266,050 TOTAL INVESTMENTS ACCRUED INTEREST ACCRUED DIVIDENDS MGMT, INC. 16 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 12/31/91 EVIL GSECW DNFBE 1 K O D J INDICATED W z O 0 z 4 1- 1 O Cr i O 1 •t d 1 z Z W 0 • W D O fl 1 0 1 D. TOTAL VALUE -PURCHASE INFORMATION - 0 0 O 0J c 1- o 1- 1- 0 O 0 0 < 0 X • P • • W 0 0 • < h it d ID • • O • N • 11 i n • II • O • 11 O n 0 • • 2,524,732 O 11 0 X O ID • 0 • N X N X 14 el • TOTAL VALUE MGMT, INC. J 1- R 0 r Z